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Can anyone tell me the odds of this happening?

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Can anyone tell me the odds of this happening? - Tue Mar 01, 2011, 05:26 PM
(#1)
jml5052's Avatar
Since: Dec 2010
Posts: 2
BronzeStar
PokerStars Game #58500451706: Tournament #370294723, $7.00+$0.50 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2011/03/01 17:04:39 ET
Table '370294723 1' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: matukamatuka (1500 in chips)
Seat 2: Nightbird21 (2665 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 4: jml5052 (1745 in chips)
Seat 6: DKing107 (1375 in chips)
Seat 7: slin87 (1380 in chips)
Seat 8: rolex_arg (1525 in chips)
Seat 9: FunMoneyOnly (3310 in chips)
jml5052: posts small blind 50
DKing107: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to jml5052 [6s 6h]
slin87: folds
rolex_arg: folds
FunMoneyOnly: raises 200 to 300
matukamatuka: folds
Nightbird21: folds
jml5052: calls 250
DKing107: folds
*** FLOP *** [Ad 6d Ac]
jml5052: checks
FunMoneyOnly: bets 100
jml5052: raises 500 to 600
FunMoneyOnly: raises 2410 to 3010 and is all-in
jml5052: calls 845 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (1565) returned to FunMoneyOnly
*** TURN *** [Ad 6d Ac] [As]
*** RIVER *** [Ad 6d Ac As] [6c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
jml5052: shows [6s 6h] (four of a kind, Sixes)
FunMoneyOnly: shows [Ts Ah] (four of a kind, Aces)
FunMoneyOnly collected 3590 from pot
jml5052 finished the tournament in 7th place
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 3590 | Rake 0
Board [Ad 6d Ac As 6c]
Seat 1: matukamatuka folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: Nightbird21 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: jml5052 (small blind) showed [6s 6h] and lost with four of a kind, Sixes
Seat 6: DKing107 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: slin87 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: rolex_arg folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: FunMoneyOnly showed [Ts Ah] and won (3590) with four of a kind, Aces
 
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Wed Mar 02, 2011, 10:29 AM
(#2)
ketchup143's Avatar
Since: Jul 2010
Posts: 279
BronzeStar
well, your opponent does have 4 outs on the flop, and if it had been a ten instead of an ace on the turn, u'd be golden hitting ur one out six on the river. Also important to note: if the turn was anything but a ten, ace, or six, he would have three additional outs to fill up to a better boat, which would have given him a total of 7, or 14% to win.
 
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Wed Mar 02, 2011, 11:22 AM
(#3)
o0o0AcEo0o0's Avatar
Since: Jan 2011
Posts: 218
BronzeStar
That's poker homie! I probably would have mucked preflop ... risking to much of your stack on a small PP. Even if you put your opponent on over cards you are slightly better than 50% to win.
 
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Wed Mar 02, 2011, 01:43 PM
(#4)
Deleted user
Download Pokerstove and punch in the numbers.
I would have done it for you but this program is not Mac friendly and the program I run to convert
to mac use was acting up.

Download this if you are serious about poker,will help you a lot.
 
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Wed Mar 02, 2011, 03:30 PM
(#5)
jml5052's Avatar
Since: Dec 2010
Posts: 2
BronzeStar
I can't download that as I also use a mac. I wasn't upset about the hand I just thought it was crazy that his ace hit and then my 6 also hit.
 
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Sat Mar 05, 2011, 02:11 AM
(#6)
PaidInFull6's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 342
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKh0_rQhCpY

It happens, at least your not this guy.
 
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Sun Mar 06, 2011, 10:05 AM
(#7)
spike8998's Avatar
Since: Apr 2010
Posts: 853
Played in a live game in a pub
On the button with 10's and I 4xbb raise preflop
All fold except the BB
Flop = 10 10 A
BB checks and I shove all in
BB calls and has more chips than me
BB shows AA vs my 10 10
Feeling pretty confident as the turn is a blank
But low and behold river comes the last ACE in the pack
I lose lol
Apparently the odds of Quads vs Quads in the same hand
are 1 million to 1
 
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Tue Mar 08, 2011, 04:20 PM
(#8)
Herkstwin's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 255
A tough bad beat. Too bad you were not in a bricks and mortar card room. Many of them would have paid you handsomely for a bad beat - and the rest of the table would have been happy to share in the winnings.

Good Luck next time.

Herk
 

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