Home / Community / Forum / Poker Education / Poker Education & Beginners Questions / Old Hand Analysis Section /

AK early phase2

AK early phase2 - Mon May 02, 2011, 03:07 PM
andrei17731's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 160
So I'm playing an $11 tournament with a 50k prize pool and i get myself in this situation. I think typically you should fold in this situation, but this player has raised me off the pot twice so I decide the only possible hand that can beat me in this situation is a set. Do you think I still should have folded, or a reraise shove is okay? and what does the math say behind it. Also, this opponent is not loose and would call a 3bb raise with a premium hand, any pair, perhaps Ax.

PokerStars Game #61595027349: Tournament #419010491, $10+$1 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level VI (40/80) - 2011/05/02 11:51:47 PT [2011/05/02 14:51:47 ET]
Table '419010491 76' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: Ruchev (6515 in chips)
Seat 2: RobbieR83 (4105 in chips)
Seat 3: imbecileee (5650 in chips)
Seat 4: lucky8dolls (2700 in chips)
Seat 5: Rawsons (5800 in chips)
Seat 6: gawerkin_xx (3585 in chips)
Seat 7: Franzwars118 (3900 in chips)
Seat 8: uriy977 (560 in chips)
Seat 9: andrei17731 (4155 in chips)
uriy977: posts small blind 40
andrei17731: posts big blind 80
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to andrei17731 [Kc As]
Ruchev: folds
RobbieR83: folds
imbecileee: folds
lucky8dolls: folds
Rawsons: calls 80
gawerkin_xx: folds
Franzwars118: folds
uriy977: calls 40
andrei17731: raises 240 to 320
Rawsons: calls 240
uriy977: folds
*** FLOP *** [3s 5s Ac]
andrei17731: bets 560
Rawsons: raises 1430 to 1990
andrei17731 said, "what"
andrei17731: raises 1845 to 3835 and is all-in
Rawsons: calls 1845
andrei17731 said, "fck"
andrei17731 said, "wow"
*** TURN *** [3s 5s Ac] [Qh]
*** RIVER *** [3s 5s Ac Qh] [5c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***

Last edited by andrei17731; Mon May 02, 2011 at 04:59 PM..
Mon May 02, 2011, 05:25 PM
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,833
The thing I'd look at is your read that the opponent pushed you off a hand twice already and that they originally limped.
With that being the case, I'd put him on a weak A, mid suited connectors or a low pair.... I'd rule out a premium since they only limped.

If he's got the weak A, you've got him dominated. If he's got the suited connectors in spades, you're way ahead... although they've got outs. The only hands you need to be worried about is 33 or 55 (or 24, but you said he's not loose).

Unless my gut told me he had a set, I'm not letting go of AK in that situation and would have no problem pushing back.
Tue May 03, 2011, 03:59 AM
andrei17731's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 160
Wow, you're good, apparently he's looser than you think he had 33, so a set.
Tue May 03, 2011, 06:17 PM
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,833
he wouldn't be loose unless he had 2 4.

It's exactly what a person with 33 or 55 would do.... limp to try and see a cheap flop, then call a raise to see if they can hit a set.

Getting PokerStars is easy: download and install the PokerStars game software, create your free player account, and validate your email address. Clicking on the download poker button will lead to the installation of compatible poker software on your PC of 51.7 MB, which will enable you to register and play poker on the PokerStars platform. To uninstall PokerStars use the Windows uninstaller: click Start > Control Panel and then select Add or Remove programs > Select PokerStars and click Uninstall or Remove.

Copyright (c) PokerSchoolOnline.com. All rights reserved, Rational Group, Douglas Bay Complex, King Edward Road, Onchan, Isle of Man, IM3 1DZ. You can email us on support@pokerschoolonline.com