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Blind vs. blind on the bubble of a freeroll satellite

 
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Blind vs. blind on the bubble of a freeroll satellite - Mon May 02, 2011, 08:03 PM
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oriholic's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 751
BronzeStar
Freeroll satellite. 6 left, 5 get ticket. Smallest stack with about 3 BBs folded UTG+1, SB is second smallest stack, and I have SB covered by about 1 BB. I think I had 7 BBs. There are antes, and blinds are 500 / 1000.

Everyone folds to SB who limps. I have two cards. SB is not a nit, and while he should be folding most of the time will probably be calling my shove with at least top 10%, even top 15%.

Should I shove? Or check and let the SB get a bigger stack than me. The way the table is set up:

big stack (2nd) FOLDS
smallest stack (6th) FOLDS
big stack (1st) FOLDS
medium stack (3rd) FOLDS
small stack (5th) LIMPS
me (4th) ????

With this set-up I only get 1 hand per orbit max where I'm not shoving into a big stack. If I check here and fold, and the small stack gets a walk on his BB I'm screwed. I know if the SB is a nit or understands ICM and bubble factors, a shove here should work (of course if he understood ICM and bubble factors he wouldn't limp here, just shove and make me fold near 100%), but what if he's calling a lot of hands?
 
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Mon May 02, 2011, 08:16 PM
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TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,516
(Head Trainer)
I would just check most my hands. If he bets the flop and we've missed, I'd pass, if he checks I will probably make a bet around half the pot unless I hit decent showdown value, in which case I'm likely to just check it down with him.
 
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Mon May 02, 2011, 08:22 PM
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TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,516
(Head Trainer)
Different story I think if playing to win, but in a satellite this would generally be my line in this spot.
 
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Mon May 02, 2011, 08:56 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,836
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
I agree with Dave on it. I'd check. The goal is only to be in the top 5, not necessarily win. If you hit the flop, or they check the flop, then I bet. If I miss the flop, I'd pass.

You still have chips an only need 1 more to be ko'd to win.
 

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