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99 late position Analysis

 
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99 late position Analysis - Tue Aug 23, 2011, 02:02 PM
(#1)
ChiltonMafia's Avatar
Since: May 2011
Posts: 164
Hi im currently playing in this tournament and just wondered if i made a correct call in this situation or correct play in general. I felt like i did as the player who pushed all in had previously pushed 4 out of 6 previous hands and clearly was on tilt after a previous loss. I was 93.05% Favourite going to river but unfortunately my bad fortune continued, this would have put me on a 17k stack and with stack size i had i felt overall the call was correct but what is your opinion.

Apolagies i put late position but i wasnt. my bad.

http://www.pokerschoolonline.com/rep...ash=E58A42DD1E

Last edited by ChiltonMafia; Tue Aug 23, 2011 at 02:04 PM.. Reason: spelling error
 
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Tue Aug 23, 2011, 02:30 PM
(#2)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,825
(Super-Moderator)
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No problems with it from me... especially if you know the opp is on tilt.

If you win, you ko and opp.. but if you lose, you still have plenty of chips to play with.

In this situation with 99, you're most-likely in a race or even better if they're on tilt. You were even better than a race since they had an undercard.
 
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Tue Aug 23, 2011, 02:35 PM
(#3)
ChiltonMafia's Avatar
Since: May 2011
Posts: 164
Quote:
Originally Posted by JWK24 View Post
No problems with it from me... especially if you know the opp is on tilt.

If you win, you ko and opp.. but if you lose, you still have plenty of chips to play with.

In this situation with 99, you're most-likely in a race or even better if they're on tilt. You were even better than a race since they had an undercard.
Thanks JWK Nice too know i made a correct decision. Now i jsut need my luck factor to change.. lol
 
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Tue Aug 23, 2011, 04:28 PM
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JDean's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,145
BronzeStar
You min raised to open the pot with 99.
This made the pot 1225.

Short stack jams 2605 over your 600 open raise.
This made the pot 3830.

It comes back to you without anyone else joining the party, so you are getting a "price" of 2005 to win 3830, or 1.91 to 1 odds.

If you "knew" the villain held 2 un-paired over cards to your "live" un-paired under card hand (if that was what you had) then you;d only "need" 2 to 1 to be correct in calling for odds. This means the actual odds you are getting is very very close to what you'd "need" to call a shove by AK when you are holding 72o!

Since a 2005 call represents a pretty small portion of your stack (15% or so), AND since you've seen strong indications by this player that he will not restrict his "stands" to only pocket pairs bigger than your 99, all systems point toward a "go" for your call.

What happens after that is all down to chance.

good call.
 

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