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2 pair on the flop

 
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2 pair on the flop - Mon Aug 29, 2011, 10:55 AM
(#1)
JARGON1977's Avatar
Since: Jan 2011
Posts: 66
I just wanted to know what your thoughts were about this hand , it might be difficult for you to analyse without a specific read on my opponent . However the first thought I had was "what are the chances of my opponent holding AK" .





I called and began to question my play . Your reply will be appreciated .

Last edited by JARGON1977; Mon Aug 29, 2011 at 10:57 AM..
 
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Mon Aug 29, 2011, 11:20 AM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,512
(Head Trainer)
Baluga theorem. When your opponent raises on the turn, seriously reconsider the strength of your 1 pair hand. In this case you have bottom 2, but it's essentially the same as top pair in hand strength in that in can't beat what the villain is repping.

You ask what are the chances? Wtih this action sequence, the chances are about 99% that the villain holds AA, KK, or AK, with AK being the most likeliy. Unless you have reads to the contrary on the villain, your hand is never good here when he check-raise bombs the turn.
 
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Mon Aug 29, 2011, 01:04 PM
(#3)
JDean's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,145
BronzeStar
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLangolier View Post
Baluga theorem. When your opponent raises on the turn, seriously reconsider the strength of your 1 pair hand. In this case you have bottom 2, but it's essentially the same as top pair in hand strength in that in can't beat what the villain is repping.

You ask what are the chances? Wtih this action sequence, the chances are about 99% that the villain holds AA, KK, or AK, with AK being the most likeliy. Unless you have reads to the contrary on the villain, your hand is never good here when he check-raise bombs the turn.
^^ +1 this.

bottom 2 is usually the "best" hand on a given flop.

bottom 2 is going to see much of its profit when it gets called by TOP PAIR type hands (I say this because those hands will tend to call larger bets, and will get more value in for you).

bottom 2 then is extremely vulnerable to being drawn out on, as top pairs might hit kickers, or the off card on the flop might pair.

(Note: extremely vulnerable in comparison to top/top or top/bottom type 2 pair hands)

That means you are in much of the same spot as if you'd been playing a single paired hand if the Villain is willing to C/R the turn.

Stop. Re-Assess.

Then decide.

Last edited by JDean; Tue Aug 30, 2011 at 03:08 AM..
 
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Mon Aug 29, 2011, 09:40 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,831
(Super-Moderator)
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I agree. Like preflop and flop... but when the K hits the turn, gotta reconsider. Your opp definitely has an A and two pair is a reasonable consideration.. and if they have 2 pair, yours is the lower 2 pair.
 

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