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Odds on this plz???

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Odds on this plz??? - Tue Sep 20, 2011, 11:35 AM
(#1)
franksalot4u's Avatar
Since: Mar 2011
Posts: 1
1ST HAND GUY HITS QUAD 7/7/7/7
2ND HAND GUY HITS QUAD 8/8/8/8
1 AFTER THE OTHER??? SAME PERSON...
 
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Tue Sep 20, 2011, 12:57 PM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,501
(Head Trainer)
100%
 
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Tue Sep 20, 2011, 01:20 PM
(#3)
roomik17's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 4,556
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLangolier View Post
100%
lol
 
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Tue Sep 20, 2011, 01:42 PM
(#4)
Bill Curran's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,506
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLangolier View Post
100%

Tut Tut Tut Tut Tut Dave, you should know better than that.

% are not ODDS you are getting confused with CHANCES

 
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Tue Sep 20, 2011, 01:45 PM
(#5)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,501
(Head Trainer)
I can assure you I'm not confused in the least.
 
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Tue Sep 20, 2011, 02:43 PM
(#6)
ketchup143's Avatar
Since: Jul 2010
Posts: 279
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Quote:
Originally Posted by franksalot4u View Post
1ST HAND GUY HITS QUAD 7/7/7/7
2ND HAND GUY HITS QUAD 8/8/8/8
1 AFTER THE OTHER??? SAME PERSON...
did he flop quads? hit quads on the turn? hit quads on the river? im assuming he had 77 and 88 in the hole...whatever the chances of doing that are i don't know, but him getting it two hands in a row would just be whatever the chance of doing it once is multiplied by itself
 
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Tue Sep 20, 2011, 11:20 PM
(#7)
spike8998's Avatar
Since: Apr 2010
Posts: 853
the probability of FLOPPING quads with a pocket pair is 1 in 408.
the probability of hitting quads by the river with a pocket pair is 1 in 122.

So this applies to the very next hand also

But it also depends how many at the table HU/6/9/10

Last edited by spike8998; Tue Sep 20, 2011 at 11:22 PM..
 
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Wed Sep 21, 2011, 07:50 AM
(#8)
Crumblepie's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 204
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLangolier View Post
100%
It is more like 50/50, but there is only a 25% chance at that.

Anyway, a couple day's ago we are at the bubble, playing in a 45ppl 25 or 50 cent SnG, when I get pocket aces.

I am thinking, it is a very tight final table, so I am trying to get the money in pre-flop as i have like an 80/20% chance against one opponant. And it works out like I planned it, I open raise, i get reraised by one guy so I shove and he calls.

We turn our holecards, the guy has AQo, so with pocket aces, I am ahead. Comes the flop all blanks, so the guy can only beat me when turn and river are Q's..

Sure enough, five seconds later I bust out on the bubble because turn and river were Q, Q.

I'd say, that is really 100%.
 
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Wed Sep 21, 2011, 10:40 AM
(#9)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,501
(Head Trainer)
Did you know that in omaha/8 the best starting hand is generally considered to be AA23 double suited, while the worst starting hand is quads. And statisically you are greater than 8% more likely to receive the latter than the former? Talk about rigged... :
 
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Wed Sep 21, 2011, 09:59 PM
(#10)
CorkiePoker's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 104
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheLangolier View Post
Did you know that in omaha/8 the best starting hand is generally considered to be AA23 double suited, while the worst starting hand is quads. And statisically you are greater than 8% more likely to receive the latter than the former? Talk about rigged... :
It's not that it's rigged, it's the rules of the game. In Omaha, you must use two cards from your hand and 3 cards from the board to make your poker hand. If you're holding quads, the best you can get out of them is a pair since only two of them can be used.

I auto fold any Omaha hand containing 3+ cards of any rank.

The goal with the double suited A23 hand is to scoop the pot with the nut flush for high and pick up the low with something like A2345.
 
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Thu Sep 22, 2011, 02:05 AM
(#11)
hemetdennis's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,019
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorkiePoker View Post
It's not that it's rigged, it's the rules of the game. In Omaha, you must use two cards from your hand and 3 cards from the board to make your poker hand. If you're holding quads, the best you can get out of them is a pair since only two of them can be used.

I auto fold any Omaha hand containing 3+ cards of any rank.

The goal with the double suited A23 hand is to scoop the pot with the nut flush for high and pick up the low with something like A2345.

NOW YOU GOT IT DAVE LOL


 
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Thu Sep 22, 2011, 11:00 AM
(#12)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,501
(Head Trainer)
lol, I think you missed the point of my joke.

I was poking a little fun at conspiracy theorists who often have ridiculous, illogical arguments with no basis in actual fact for their rigged conspiracy other than they lose at poker (must be rigged obv lol).

So I made a statement that you're more likely to be dealt the worst starting hand (quads) than the best starting hand (AA23ds), a truth based in mathematical fact, and called it "rigged".
 
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Fri Sep 23, 2011, 02:52 AM
(#13)
hemetdennis's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,019
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I KNEW THAT BUT SOME DIDN'T


 

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