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Was I right to fold this?

 
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Was I right to fold this? - Mon Oct 24, 2011, 09:56 AM
(#1)
havocofsmeg's Avatar
Since: Feb 2011
Posts: 489
 
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Mon Oct 24, 2011, 10:19 AM
(#2)
roomik17's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 4,556
BronzeStar
good fold, cant be results oriented! lol getting good pot odds to call, but not enough to set mine let alone for quad mining lol

Last edited by roomik17; Mon Oct 24, 2011 at 10:24 AM..
 
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Mon Oct 24, 2011, 01:12 PM
(#3)
TrumpinJoe's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 4,557
Typically I like to see 15:1 odds or better to set mine. Since the pot is laying 3:1 you need an additional 12:1 in implied odds to call. You have only 5000 in chips remaining so you have close implied odds with one player if you hit so I would go for it unless the BB is an aggressive defender as you can't stand a raise from them.
 
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Mon Oct 24, 2011, 02:21 PM
(#4)
oriholic's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 751
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TrumpinJoe View Post
I would go for it unless the BB is an aggressive defender as you can't stand a raise from them.
The BB's stack is too short to do anything but call. No need to worry about a raise from him.

I do think this is a good fold, because while you may have the right odds to set mine, you don't have the right situation. Overcalling a late position raise and call from the blinds with the intention of setmining is not a good plan. Unless the raiser's preflop range is really tight in LP, he's probably way too wide to pay you off if you even do hit a set.

Now if the cutoff has been raising a lot, this may be a good spot for you to 3-bet. It's a squeeze play, and it is risky, but it's better than calling. If you're going to do it, you'll have to just shove. Can add an extra ~30% to your stack.
 
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Mon Oct 24, 2011, 03:44 PM
(#5)
JDean's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,145
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This looks like a "target raise" of the BB, designed to get him to go all in.

In that case, you are likely to be taking a set mining hand into what figures to be a "dry pot" (or near dry pot) situation.

Action is typically light in dry pot situations, so a LOT of the implied odds value from a set mine goes away here for you.

If you cannot count on solid implied odds to get more money into the pot if you spike, than a hand like 22 becomes a very weak hand indeed.

Good fold.
 
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Tue Oct 25, 2011, 12:31 PM
(#6)
havocofsmeg's Avatar
Since: Feb 2011
Posts: 489
Thanks, folks.
 

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