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Good Fold?

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Good Fold? - Sat Dec 03, 2011, 03:44 PM
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hamburglarid's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 131
SilverStar


I think my mistake may have been completing from the small blind.

I flop top and bottom pair on a very wet board and bet out, a loose passive (83/0 small sample) raises and I give him credit and fold. On the flop I thought it was a good fold, but he makes a weak bet on the turn that makes me wonder. I don't think he raises a draw... I'm thinking he had top pair, an over pair, two pair or a set... he could have jack nine I suppose.
 
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Sat Dec 03, 2011, 04:29 PM
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JDean's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,145
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The key to whether this is a good fold or not is how big the sample size was you had on the villain who raised, and whether or not you'd seen him lead out at all before. the more passive he is (meaning the fewer times you;d seen him lead) the better I like the fold. Obviously, if you'd only seen 1 orbit, and this is the first time he was on the button, I'm crediting the read far less.

Overall, there are hands that are ahead of you, and just knowing a formerly passive player feels strongly enough about his hand to raise is cause for suspicion. You really have no strong chance to improve if you are behind (4 outs to a boat that may not be good). The fact his raise amount starts moving you closer to a commitment point is a solid reason to act NOW and fold, before you find out after it is too late.

So depending on how many orbits you saw, this could well be a VERY smart fold.
 

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