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Big Pots, Bad Plays,

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Big Pots, Bad Plays, - Thu Feb 23, 2012, 07:42 PM
(#1)
BandShooter's Avatar
Since: Jun 2011
Posts: 111
Ok, I think I already know the answer, but I'd like an analysis of my play here.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1t8yYwI7eaU
**I'm sure I saw a way to embed video's on here before, but I can't figure it out now....sorry.

I'm sure I only get rewarded for the terrible call at the end to re-enforce future bad play....
 
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Thu Feb 23, 2012, 09:39 PM
(#2)
PanickyPoker's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 3,168
PSO's hand replayer is under the 'Tools' link at the top of the page, or here:

http://www.pokerschoolonline.com/replayer/

If you play with this person any significant amount at all, I would note that their calling range on the flop and turn is super-wide, and that they are capable of bluffing the river. I think river bluffing is a huge thing you should be noting at the lower buy-ins, because conventional strategy is based around passive opponents (e.g. bet when you have it; when they bet big, fold).
 
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Fri Feb 24, 2012, 02:16 AM
(#3)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,479
(Head Trainer)
Hi BandShooter,

Maybe it would help if you could explain your thinking about why you feel the river call is so terrible. You haven't given any reads, and the only reads that I think makes the play bad can't possibly be given what the villain actually showed up with.

You have less than a pot sized bet left on the river, doing the math you need to win about 29% of the time to break even on this call. As I see it I expect you to have the best hand over half the time here (and I didn't factor in total bluffs like he had).

Hint: What hands do you think are in his range on the river, and how many combos are you losing to vs. beating?

Personally without reads I would probably have bet all in on the river instead of check-called. Since we have to pay off a flush anyway due to the price and combos of other hands he can take this line with, I want to make sure I get full value from TT-QQ which will often check behind us if we check.

Dave


Head Live Trainer
Check out my Videos

4 Time Bracelet Winner



 
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Fri Feb 24, 2012, 08:48 AM
(#4)
oriholic's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 751
BronzeStar
Huh, what did you do wrong?? Maybe betting the river is better than check/calling but I see no reason not to get the money in. Our opponent has shown zero strength. He probably does not have 55, a 7 (unless it's 77), or 66--he would have raised by now. He's probably not raising a hand with an 8 in it in early position unless he has 88. So the only hands we're really worried about are 77, 88, 99, AA, and hearts. We beat the rest of his range. Hearts are a very legitimate concern. But can he have hands here that we beat? What about TT, JJ, QQ? He'd probably call a bet with those if he's made it this far, but he is likely to check them behind.

Against this opponent, you appear to have played the hand perfectly.


4 Time Bracelet Winner


 

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