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Marvin's Million Move

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Marvin's Million Move - Sun Mar 11, 2012, 02:18 PM
(#1)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Ok, I am starting a new thread for this.

As you are all well aware, marvinsytan is making a move for the milllion.
If you're not up-to date, latest developments are here, and on the preceding pages.

I plan to run some commentary on it, and that thread has just gotten very long. So.

To start with, I expressed same vague doubts on the buy-in strategy, I personally would very much like to have some opinions by some serious players...

Last edited by Don B. Cilly; Sun Mar 11, 2012 at 02:20 PM..
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 02:38 PM
(#2)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Well, the first thing I notice by browsing the tourney is that it's fast approaching the 30K entry mark, at which it covers the guarantee (and generates at least $450'000 in rake, not bad I guess) and it really looks like it's going to exceed it by quite a bit... especially if the late registration strategy is as popular as it looks.

Still, blinds are 80/160, top 100 stacks are well above 30K... I wouldn't really wait much longer to register...
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:01 PM
(#3)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Yup, the guarantee has been exceeded, and the prize pool is now over $6 million.

I would be getting a bit scared of the bigger stacks and the ante looming shortly, if not like your Damocles's sword, rather like an annoying consistent mosquito bite.

I'm not getting any contrary opinion - with so many people staking I'm actually a bit surprised I'm not even getting read, let alone commented - and I'm more and more convinced Marvin may have overdone his late-reg strategy a bit.
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:09 PM
(#4)
EdinFreeMan's Avatar
Since: Feb 2010
Posts: 4,540
Hi Don,

I don't like late reg myself as a strategy ever really - I only do it if I am actually unavoidably late for a tourney I want to play - for me it generally looks like a weak strategy to try to survive for min cash.

Marv has been showing good results and if the structure is not too fast it might be feasible to run deep - I just don't like starting well below average stack and missing early opportunities to chip up.

I hope Marv makes the best of this opportunity though - he does have a good game - once he is in it!

So Good Luck Marvin

Ed from Edinburgh - EdinFreeMan
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:13 PM
(#5)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Average stack is just over 12K... so not too bad, let's just hope he doesn't get a big on at this table... he should be registering within a couple of minutes, so we'll see :)

[Edit] And he's playing! Go Marv! (he's got two players with roughly double his stack at the table...)

Last edited by Don B. Cilly; Sun Mar 11, 2012 at 03:17 PM..
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:15 PM
(#6)
EdinFreeMan's Avatar
Since: Feb 2010
Posts: 4,540
Marv's on table 2
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:27 PM
(#7)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
The table is not looking half bad - for the moment. There is one Russian looks a little crazy... but not too bad, and he's short-stacked, and he's to Marv's right.

I'll be posting some hand if I see some that stand out, stay tuned
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:35 PM
(#8)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Knock 'em out!!!

 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:37 PM
(#9)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
A supernova just took the donker's place... and he's pretty short-stacked... hmmm... ://
And he's from Sweden but he's Greek. Looks scary :)
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:44 PM
(#10)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Seat 1: marvinsytan (19815 in chips)
Seat 2: Royal Lacky (14569 in chips)
Seat 3: shakerat_1 (5220 in chips)
Seat 4: MacintoshFan (23173 in chips)
Seat 5: riderr600 (7673 in chips)
Seat 6: jison300 (11492 in chips)
Seat 7: Paokgeorge (2665 in chips) (the Supernova - shorter-stacked still, will all-in soon)
Seat 8: magididi83 (21155 in chips)
Seat 9: Serjant (4381 in chips) (the half-crazy Russian)
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:50 PM
(#11)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Marv keeps out of the way as the Russian survives a short-stack move and the Supernova is pretty much blinded out by the same Russian.

(I'lll edit this one for a while unless things get interesting)

Marv just shoved a 2X attack from the small blind (the Russian, yes, shortish-stacked :) and took it down, well done.

And he took down another 2.7K pot by re-raising a mid-pos raise on the button, cool :)

At the break, getting close to 33'000 entries (!), roughly 20'000 left, avg. stack 16K, Marv got close to 22K, looks like his late-reg strategy paid off.

Last edited by Don B. Cilly; Sun Mar 11, 2012 at 04:02 PM..
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 03:59 PM
(#12)
royalraise85's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 26,019
(Community Coordinator)
*** Moved ***

Moved to Online Events,

Wishing Marvin a real Run Good!

Raiser


Moderator

Bracelet Winner


 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 04:12 PM
(#13)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Hmmmm... :)
Stack-wise, good move I guess:

 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 04:14 PM
(#14)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
The big blinds are pink, now... it begins to get interesting :)

Registration closed at 33732, roughly half of which are still in it.
Prize pool is just over $6.7M... things are heating up quite a bit at the table, what with the blinds/antes getting juicy... and Marv pulled off a nice one :)


Last edited by Don B. Cilly; Sun Mar 11, 2012 at 04:38 PM..
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 04:52 PM
(#15)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Pffffff... for a moment I thought he was going to call...
He thought about it for quite a bit.

Sorry, this hand was deleted by its owner

Still... he's quite a bit below average stack (19K, avg. 24), there's 12'500 left, and it pays 4392.

Difficult spot, let's see how he manages it.
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 05:12 PM
(#16)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
Less than 12 BBs... table's going wild... bubble is getting almost close (as they are dropping like flies)... tough, tough spot. Let's pray.
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 05:17 PM
(#17)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
You trying to give us all heart attacks...

 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 05:27 PM
(#18)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
No comment... but ok, bubble is getting close now...

 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 05:31 PM
(#19)
EdinFreeMan's Avatar
Since: Feb 2010
Posts: 4,540
Just moved up to the prize zone...
 
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Sun Mar 11, 2012, 05:33 PM
(#20)
Don B. Cilly's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 394
O my dog... I mean, great, but now you can slow down a little bit?
Until the bubble?

 

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