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bubble play | 90 man

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bubble play | 90 man - Wed Mar 14, 2012, 11:37 AM
(#1)
CZDonkey's Avatar
Since: Mar 2010
Posts: 60
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $800(BB) Replayer
SB ($10,767)
Hero ($4,655)
UTG ($5,999)
UTG+1 ($16,791)
UTG+2 ($2,024)
CO ($17,208)
BTN ($2,261)

Dealt to Hero 6:club: 6:spade:

fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $1,949 (AI), fold, BTN raises to $2,186 (AI), fold, Hero ???

Its pure bubble I got them both covered. call or fold?
 
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Wed Mar 14, 2012, 11:56 AM
(#2)
PanickyPoker's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 3,168
If I'm reading this correctly, you need to call roughly t1200 to win t5200? Versus only two players those pot odds make it a snap call with any two cards. The fact that it's the bubble doesn't really matter, because you have them both covered; even if you call and lose, there's still roughly a 50% chance that the bubble will end now anyway. And even if it doesn't, you still have chips to play with.
 
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Wed Mar 14, 2012, 01:06 PM
(#3)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,831
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
Hi CZDonkey!

In the future, you may want to try putting the hand history into the replayer, as it's easier for many of the members to see the hand, pot sizes, etc using this. The replayer can be found from the TOOLS link at the top of the page and here is a link to the instructions on how to use it.

In this situation, if I've got the numbers right, the level should be 400/800 with 75. To make the call, it will cost me 1386 into a pot of 7246 (19.1%).
I then go to pokerstove to see if I have more than 19.1% equity in my hand. I put in the pair of 6's for me and I put in the following ranges for the opps: UTG+2 (any pair, any broadway, any A) since they should be shoving a wide range BTN (top 10% hand)
My pair of 6's has 31.3% equity, so my hand equity is much higher than the pot equity.

Also, if I lose the hand, I will not be KO'd, as I have both stacks covered. With this being the exact bubble too, if either opp doesn't win the hand, I get ITM.

Due to all of this, I'm calling here with 66.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
Old
Default
Wed Mar 14, 2012, 11:23 PM
(#4)
CZDonkey's Avatar
Since: Mar 2010
Posts: 60
i was good until ..

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $800(BB) Replayer
SB ($10,767)
Hero ($4,655)
UTG ($5,999)
UTG+1 ($16,791)
UTG+2 ($2,024)
CO ($17,208)
BTN ($2,261)

Dealt to Hero 6:club: 6:spade:

fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $1,949 (AI), fold, BTN raises to $2,186 (AI), fold, Hero calls $1,386

FLOP ($7,246) K:club: 5:spade: J:spade:

TURN ($7,246) K:club: 5:spade: J:spade: 2:club:

RIVER ($7,246) K:club: 5:spade: J:spade: 2:club: 9:diamond:

UTG+2 shows 7:club: A:spade:
(Pre 21%, Flop 17.6%, Turn 7.1%)

BTN shows 9:spade: A:club:
(Pre 33%, Flop 19.8%, Turn 11.9%)

Hero shows 6:club: 6:spade:
(Pre 47%, Flop 62.7%, Turn 81.0%)

BTN wins $7,246
 

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