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is this spew multiway?

is this spew multiway? - Mon Mar 26, 2012, 03:28 AM
rule110's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 147
hi, thi

Last edited by rule110; Thu Apr 26, 2012 at 10:47 PM..
Mon Mar 26, 2012, 11:07 AM
JDean's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,145
Hi Rule110...

Yeah, kind-a/sort-a this is spew...

Your draw looks a heck of a lot stronger than it really is in a multi-way pot.

1) You may be facing a made straight leaving you just 2 outs to a clean win, and 3 outs to a chop.

2) You may be facing a made flush already that is bigger than the one you can make, again leaving you just 2 outs.

3) While your over pair MIGHT be good right now, there is little chance you facing AT LEAST a flush draw with over(s).

Since the player acting first led small, you cannot "close the betting" when the big stack raised here, so you are un-likely to find out you are beaten until you call, and raising as you did pretty much commits you if the guy who donk led 4bets...and if/when he does, your hand really looks pretty weak, doesn't it?

I think that based on the strength of your over pair, you MIGHT be able to flat the bet and raise ahead of you, but even this is a bit marginal without a ton of info on opps. If the pot were heads up, or if you could close the betting with no chance to see another raise, I'd probably take the risk of flatting here, but in a multi-way pot it just isn't worth the risk of finding out too late I am drawing really thin.

Hope it helps.


Double Bracelet Winner

Last edited by JDean; Mon Mar 26, 2012 at 11:18 AM..

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