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2NL full ring AQoff

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2NL full ring AQoff - Sat Apr 07, 2012, 09:22 AM
(#1)
nee0903's Avatar
Since: Jan 2011
Posts: 61


The villain was 17/11 over 98 hands...2qw1k was a fish..he could have any two cards..It was a tough spot for me..i thought the villain could have hands like..AX or pocket pairs preflop..the flop bet looked like an A(AK,AQ,AJ,A10,A9s etc) or a set ...which is trying to protect against a flush..My call post flop was encouraged by the Q of spades in my hand..Please comment on my play..

Also what should be the play if it was a 5 of clubs on the river?

Last edited by nee0903; Sat Apr 07, 2012 at 09:49 AM..
 
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Sat Apr 07, 2012, 03:13 PM
(#2)
RockerguyAA's Avatar
Since: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,089
BronzeStar
I think you played it fine until the turn. Once he bets strong on the turn I think you have to fold. You are crushed by his entire range. Your way behind AK, AJ, a set of 9's or J's, a lower made flush, WAY behind A-K of spade, and dead to KT of spades. Might be a break even estimated value call if there was another dollar in the pot when he bet the turn. The only hands you are ahead of are KQ with the K of spade, and bluffs. I don't expect a random TAG to double barrel bluff here too often.
 
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Mon Apr 09, 2012, 04:28 AM
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JDean's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,145
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Hi Nee0903.

The open raiser is pretty reasonably tight, but if we have him on his full raise range of 11% because he is MP, we are going to be ok a good bit of the time in 3betting him to isolate on the donk. If the fish in on around a 70% call range of our raise (you don't give specific info), and the open raiser flats a 7% range, we are going to have right at the equity we need to break even on a pre flop 3bet.

On the flop, the open raiser's C-Bet is pretty standard, and so is a wide call by the "fish".

I think I would favor a RAISE here on the basis of my top pair/2nd nut flush draw on the order of making it 60c to go. If we drop off ALL under pairs (77/88/TT, except QQ), all non Ks hands, and all AT hands that do not have the Ts from the opener raiser's C Bet range, we have about 55% equity against all the 2 pair, sets, and 1 pair + draw hands he might C-Bet. If we drop QQ from a C-Bet range, our equity is still a little over 50%.

Plus, we are pretty unlikely to get 3bet on a board this threatening, and we may "slow down" the open raiser's bets by making an immediate raise. Obviously, the fish is so wide that we are not really worried a ton about his range with our re-draw, and would probably be willing to play him for his stack...

As played, you pretty much had as much committed to the pot on the turn as a raise on the flop would have cost you, so had the 5s not fallen on the river, you'd be in a very "yuck" spot after the open raiser barrels 3 streets. If I am going to put 80 some cents into a pot, I'd really rather do it aggressively when in position, than do it passively and rely on hitting my card to be pretty sure I hold the best hand when it gets to the river.

Hope it helps.

-JDean

(P.S. Below, please find the poker stove data on your flop equity.)

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

23,712 games 0.000 secs 4,742,400 games/sec

Board: As Js 9s
Dead: Kh Kd Kc Th Td Tc

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 55.061% 49.36% 05.70% 11704 1352.00 { AcQs }
Hand 1: 44.939% 39.24% 05.70% 9304 1352.00 { JJ+, 99, A9s+, KTs+, ATo+, KQo }


---

23,712 games 0.000 secs 4,742,400 games/sec

Board: As Js 9s
Dead: Kh Kd Kc Th Td Tc

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 55.061% 49.36% 05.70% 11704 1352.00 { AcQs }
Hand 1: 44.939% 39.24% 05.70% 9304 1352.00 { JJ+, 99, A9s+, KTs+, ATo+, KQo }

And this is flop equity if you drop QQ...


21,489 games 0.000 secs 4,297,800 games/sec

Board: As Js 9s
Dead: Kh Kd Kc Th Td Tc

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.789% 44.50% 06.29% 9562 1352.00 { AcQs }
Hand 1: 49.211% 42.92% 06.29% 9223 1352.00 { KK+, JJ, 99, A9s+, KTs+, ATo+, KQo }


Double Bracelet Winner

Last edited by JDean; Mon Apr 09, 2012 at 04:41 AM..
 
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Tue Apr 10, 2012, 02:48 PM
(#4)
nee0903's Avatar
Since: Jan 2011
Posts: 61
Thanks JDean..that really helped !!
 

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