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Is this a call?

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Is this a call? - Sun Apr 15, 2012, 04:57 PM
(#1)
Ovalman's Avatar
Since: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,778


My opponent wasn't overly aggressive 19%VPiP and 14% PFR I do expect him to shove at this stage hence my call.

Was it a bad call or just unlucky?
 
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Sun Apr 15, 2012, 05:09 PM
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Sun Apr 15, 2012, 07:56 PM
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Hi Ovalman!

To call the opp's shove is an extra 10686 into a pot that will be 24772 (43.1%).

Against a 19% range, from pokerstove, K9o has 37% equity.

The pot equity is higher than the hand equity, so I'm mucking K9 here, as it is a -EV play to call.

For it to be an even EV play, the opp has to be shoving wider than 30% (which is much more than their normal 19%VPIP).

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)


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Mon Apr 16, 2012, 07:30 AM
(#4)
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Since: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,778
Well explained JWK.

I get into a certain mindset when I play sometimes and I told myself as soon as the hand was dealt I was calling if he was shoving. He'd shoved twice before in the same spot, folded once and K9o seemed strong enough to defend.
 

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