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Question on AK

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Question on AK - Tue Apr 24, 2012, 12:04 PM
(#1)
TheAwesomeNW's Avatar
Since: Mar 2012
Posts: 474
Assuming u at 100bb, u open raise 4x bb with AKs, all folds, you get reraised all in by a tight player who's at 50bb. U're putting him on AA/KK/QQ/AK/KQ.

Your equity is at 53%. Will you make the call or throw away AKs? I'm always in dilemma under such situations with AK with shorter stack player. Is this call profitable in the long run?
 
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Wed Apr 25, 2012, 03:34 AM
(#2)
paul.cccp's Avatar
Since: Feb 2012
Posts: 1
The only hand you dominate is KQ, one is up for a tie, 2 hands have the edge on a race and one has you dominated. I would definately fold in this scenario
 
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Wed Apr 25, 2012, 06:15 AM
(#3)
JDean's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,145
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheAwesomeNW View Post
Assuming u at 100bb, u open raise 4x bb with AKs, all folds, you get reraised all in by a tight player who's at 50bb. U're putting him on AA/KK/QQ/AK/KQ.

Your equity is at 53%. Will you make the call or throw away AKs? I'm always in dilemma under such situations with AK with shorter stack player. Is this call profitable in the long run?
If you feel you have 53% equity, you are calling all day long (hopefully), assuming you are closing the betting.

Your raise put 5.5BB into the pot, and you must call 46BB for a chance to win 55.5BB. You;d be getting 1.2 to 1 odds, and you'd need only about 45.5% equity to break even on a call.

You state we feel we have 53% equity, so calling is +eV all day long...

Some things that MIGHT change this:

1) It is an MTT...sometimes.

There can be times in MTT play when preserving a 96BB stack may be better for you than risking a possible flip to grow to 151.5BB.

2) There is a caller of your raise between you and the all in.

In this case you must consider the stack size of this player, his hand range to call your raise, and calculate the change in your potential equity.

3) You have very minimal info on the opp.

in this case, you'd have to suspect your ranging may not be effective. Right from jump street I'd suspect ANY ranging on n opp that has KQ in the mix, but not AJs/JJ/TT...

3) If the loss represents a HUGE money loss for you.

In this case, you do not belong in the game anyway, and you should fold, rack up your chips, and get out of the game before you LOSE a significant amount for you. You really should have never sat in the game in the first place though, as passing up these sorts of +eV spots in cash games due to "fear of loss" is going to sap your ability to extract value when you do have a good spot anyway.

Hope it helps.

-JDean


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