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OESFD level 2

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OESFD level 2 - Fri May 11, 2012, 01:27 PM
(#1)
Sjekkkk's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 141
hey John,

I had this hand lately, it screwed my tourney.
I peeked at 7c6c from the BB. UTG opens for 3X everybody folds and I decide to call.
I flop an open ended straight and flush draw.
8c 5h 3c
I decided to go for a check-raise and my opponent reraises me, I am pretty sure he holds an overpair is this good spot to gamble so early on? Should I instead had just called?
The guy showed ThTc -.- and won, really retard tho, didn´t knew that because he was new to the table.

 
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Fri May 11, 2012, 04:01 PM
(#2)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,809
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
Hi sjekkkk!

I'm assuming this is a cash tourney and not a league game. In the league I wouldn't even see the flop here, due to the early exit penalties.

With a flush and oesd, I've got 15 outs, so if I can guarantee that I can see both streets, I've got approx 60% equity and am the favorite in the hand. With being the favorite in the hand and knowing that I'll never have a higher pot equity than hand equity, I like the raise and when the opp 3-bets me, I'm shoving over them here.

If I flat, there's a chance that I wouldn't have the right price to see the river if I missed the turn, so due to that, I'd get it in on the flop.

Good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
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Fri May 11, 2012, 04:36 PM
(#3)
Sjekkkk's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 141
yes I only play cash tourneys so far,

and I am aware that I am favourite to win except vs trips. But then again is it still worth to gamble as early in the tournament even with positive EV?
Instead of C-R I could have called twice and see what happens?

I got my money in there and got called by TT (lol) but yea I lost it

Last edited by Sjekkkk; Fri May 11, 2012 at 04:43 PM..
 
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Fri May 11, 2012, 05:12 PM
(#4)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,809
(Super-Moderator)
BronzeStar
Hi Sjekkkk!

When I'm in a tourney, I want to find spots that are +EV, especially when I'm the favorite in the hand. Level 2 is early, but because I'm using proper bankroll managment (100+ buy-ins in my bankroll).... those are chances that I'm willing to take.

If I'd call twice, depending on the bet size on the turn, I may be priced out to draw, as I lose 1/2 my hand equity. That is a viable play too.... IF... the turn bet is small enough to keep me priced in for my draw.

Hope this helps.

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
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Sun May 13, 2012, 09:22 AM
(#5)
Sjekkkk's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 141
alright, thanks.
 
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Sun May 13, 2012, 10:31 AM
(#6)
bearxing's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 499
I start formulating the basic criteria for making these types of decisions before the tournament even starts. If it is a turbo event, I know I will have to take more risks, and earlier risks to keep ahead of the blinds. I also estimate the difference between my skill level and what I expect the average players skill level to be. If I think I have a big skill level advantage, I need to take fewer risks to do well. As the tournament goes on, the average skill level increases, of course, and this will mean a higher risk strategy should be adopted regardless of your stack size. This basic information is then modified by the strength of the players at my particular table. The weaker the table, the greater the probability that I will win the hand before I risk a significant portion of my stack.
 

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