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what would you do

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what would you do - Wed May 16, 2012, 07:02 PM
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dopplerboyf5's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
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Senario is you limp in with about 4 others and it gets check all around until river. One player bets and everyone folds. They win pot. Now heres my question. There on board is 2 jacks and an ace. Now next hand dealt and you get JAo would you play that hand knowing that jacks and aces were just played the hand before?
 
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Wed May 16, 2012, 07:15 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
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Hi dopplerboyf5!

If the right scenario hits, ABSOLUTELY! Each hand is it's own individual trial that has no bearing on prior hands. It's its own individual event and cards have no memory.

John (JWK24)


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Wed May 16, 2012, 07:23 PM
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CannonLee's Avatar
Since: Dec 2010
Posts: 3,418
Hi doppelerboy,

I would snap fold AJo! I only play AA, KK, AKs! jk

It entirely depends on table dynamics, position and stack sizes. Even if the previous flop, turn and river had JJA if the situation deems an open raise to 3x in position or flat calling as well 3 betting out of the blinds with AJo I'd most certainly play the hand as it is a strong holding.


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Wed May 16, 2012, 08:34 PM
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dopplerboyf5's Avatar
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I was looking at it as pure odds. You just saw the cards that you would want played in the previous hand. To me this would be a very scary hand to play.
 
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Wed May 16, 2012, 08:43 PM
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dopplerboyf5's Avatar
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This came up during a 45 stt. There was a time I got dealt AA twice in a row and each time it was folded to me. But when you see cards being played out I think the odds of the same cards again being played (flop,turn,river) is alot greater! BTW I finished in fourth!!!
 
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Sat May 26, 2012, 04:47 AM
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ravenqueen76's Avatar
Since: Sep 2011
Posts: 75
hi doppler

for me every hand is a new one. so ive i get dealt AJ as in your scenario im playing it

hope to "see" you tonight
 
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Sat May 26, 2012, 05:48 AM
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JDean's Avatar
Since: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,145
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dopplerboyf5 View Post
Senario is you limp in with about 4 others and it gets check all around until river. One player bets and everyone folds. They win pot. Now heres my question. There on board is 2 jacks and an ace. Now next hand dealt and you get JAo would you play that hand knowing that jacks and aces were just played the hand before?
Hi.

The implication of this question is that somehow AJ becomes more or less playable as a result of the fact that JJA had appeared on the previous flop. Under the law of independent trials, once the cards are picked up and randomized, the flop you just saw has absolutely no effect on the flop which is coming.

See this link: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indepen...bility_theory)

-JDean


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