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STT $ 1,50, J8o, push or fold?

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STT $ 1,50, J8o, push or fold? - Sun Jul 15, 2012, 08:01 PM
(#1)
ahcrata's Avatar
Since: Feb 2012
Posts: 40
Sorry, this hand was deleted by its owner

That is very weak, but can I push here with it?
 
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Sun Jul 15, 2012, 10:45 PM
(#2)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,788
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Hi ahcrata!

With there being only 3 left, I'm ITM and am looking to chip up to move up the pay ladder. I'm looking to play hands in position or with real hands. With J8o and being out of position, I'm going to muck here and here's why.....

If the SB calls me, then they're going to have a real hand, as they would put themselves into 3rd place. If they call with a top 10% hand only (could even be much tighter), then I'm a 71%-29% underdog. If they only call a top 5% hand, I'm a 3-1 underdog.... not good.

If the BB calls me even as wide as 50%, then I'm a 60%-40% underdog.

If both call me (I'll use top 10% for SB and 30% for the BB), then I'm a 4-1 underdog.

Not a single scenario am I ahead in the hand... so I'm mucking and looking for a better situation.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)


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