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5nl Zoom - AA UTG river spot.

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5nl Zoom - AA UTG river spot. - Wed Dec 05, 2012, 07:23 PM
(#1)
Croyd93's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 639
No reads on the SB, but I have 113 hands on the BB who is a tight-ish passive player. He's running 22/13/2.5 AF 0.9.

Sorry, this hand was deleted by its owner

Preflop I raise for value and get called by both blinds. The flop comes down pretty low with only one significant draw to worry about. The SB leads for around half pot and the BB calls, I don't want to just call here as I have the best hand a lot of the time so I decide to raise to 80c. The SB folds and the BB calls, I figure he calls here with a lot of 1 pair hands that I beat as well as some better hands, two pair such as 89 and sets.

The turn pairs the board but i'm not too concernd about him turning trips as I don't think he would call the flop with bottom pair. He checks to me and I think this is a good spot to get more money in the pot as he can definatelt call with worse. I bet $1, just under half pot, as I think this bet size allows him to call with lots of worse one pair hands.

He calls and the river comes the Jc, QT and T7 get there but I'm not worried about these as I don't think he will call down to the river with them. The BB then leads for around 60% pot. I can't think of any hands that he takes his line with that I beat, maybe KK/QQ but wouldn't he just check call again?

Is the river always a fold or can he do this with worse than AA?

Thanks for the help

Oliver


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Thu Dec 06, 2012, 04:35 PM
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GarethC23's Avatar
Since: Nov 2011
Posts: 1,273
Hey Oliver

I think the river is a pretty clear just call to be honest, not close to a raise and not a fold.

Like you said, you aren't too worried about T7 or QT. I think he can have QT a decent amount but it is certainly an unlikely hand compared to all the hands he could have.

I think he could lead out in this spot with QJ/JT/J9/89 and maybe TT/QQ type hands sometimes as well. I am not putting a 2 in his range very much, nor a hand like 88/99 that likely would have raised at some earlier point.

Finally, while I am not sure what he has, he has not bet extremely large in relation to the pot. Keep in mind in spots like this while his total bet size is large in comparison to the stakes, over 25 big blinds, in relation to the pot it is actually not that large a bet. Therefore we really have to think about our pot odds and the likelihood of being good versus him having a better hand.

I certainly wouldn't be sure we are winning 50% of the time here, given that he wants to put more money into the pot after putting in substantial money on the flop and the turn, but we don't have to be good here 50% of the time to make this call, so I think we can take the pot odds and make a good note no matter what he turns up with. If it was JJ, oh well
 

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