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is this a shove? bubble play 50/50

is this a shove? bubble play 50/50 - Thu Dec 13, 2012, 06:31 AM
quirked's Avatar
Since: Mar 2012
Posts: 19

villian is vpip 30 pfr 13 over 104 hands he was a tad laggy but not out of line
Thu Dec 13, 2012, 12:24 PM
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,862
Hi quirked!

With this being the exact bubble, I want to try to be playing hands against the shorter stacks if at all possible and avoid the stacks that can take me out, unless I have a premium hand.

With 77 in the SB, the 2nd largest stack shoves (with the bigstack still to act). Having the bigstack yet to act is a key for me here, as the 2nd stack shover should have a monster hand, as they're in great chip position to cash and should not want to put that on the line without a premium hand.

Due to this infomation, while having 77 is a made hand, it is a marginal made hand and with my best case scenario for my tourney life being a race (and I can very easily be dominated), I'm going to muck 77 here and look for a better spot when I'm up against the shorter stacks or have a better hand.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)

P.S. If I had this hand and I was up against only villains 8, 9 or 10 and nobody had raised, then I'm happy to be the first to shove with it... but I don't want to call a shove with it.


6 Time Bracelet Winner

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 03:01 PM
Ovalman's Avatar
Since: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,778
Much better to get our chips in first on the bubble than call off to a larger stack. I think the best we can hope for in this spot is a coinflip so a fold is the right play.

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