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25NL Zoom Profitable Call?

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25NL Zoom Profitable Call? - Mon Dec 24, 2012, 12:00 AM
(#1)
TheAwesomeNW's Avatar
Since: Mar 2012
Posts: 474
Villain's a reg, 22/12, AF: 2.3 after 419 hands. Flop donkbet: 23% (26), donkbet-fold: 0% (2)



So on the flop we raise his donkbet for value, could have made it larger like $3 to extract more from flush draws. Turn he did the min-checkraise. Initially thought he's making a move but after looking at his monstrous stack size, I think he made his flush hence folding.

After reviewing the hand I realised we need to call another $4 into $18.10 which is 22.01%. If we put his range on Pokerstove as a Flush, eg. AcQc, we have 22.7% equity on the Turn to make our FullHouse. Didn't know we're so close.

Thus is this one of the situation which we have immediate odds to draw? Fold the river if we miss, go all in if we hit and hope he gives us the rest of his stack.
 
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Mon Dec 24, 2012, 09:22 AM
(#2)
kingkong263's Avatar
Since: Jul 2010
Posts: 175
u dont think he can have a smaller set or 2 pair maybe AJ with Ac and u had the odds to call if he had the flush with 10 outs u were 3.6:1 and u were getting over 4 to 1 on the call
 
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Thu Dec 27, 2012, 03:22 AM
(#3)
PSO-xflixx's Avatar
Since: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,119
(Live Trainer)
Yes, this should be an easy call based on pot odds let alone implied odds. This turn xr could be a bluff/semibluff too, so also dont underestimate the number of times that you will be able to check this down and still showdown the best hand since you are in position.

If he jams the river after the xr and you do not improve you can safely fold.


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