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KK takes a severe beating from AX

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KK takes a severe beating from AX - Sun Feb 24, 2013, 09:36 PM
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How often should AX beat KK? Just went out of The Bigger $4.40 after being crippled when my 3rd KK lost to AJ on Hand 93 - Blinds were 400/200 - I had 8.1k to his 6.5k - all in pf and he hits ace on flop. Earlier, on Hand 67 I got my 1st KK beat by AK all in pf after a small raise from me, blinds 250/125 - I had 14.7k to his 5.4k. The very next Hand 68, I got my 2nd KK beat by the same player who calls with any AX. This time I just called pf, no raises. Ace lands on the flop, he bets, I fold and he shows an ace. So that's 3 times in 25 hands KK lost to AX. As I write, just 16 hands later, still watching the same table, and KK this time loses to AQ all in pf. So 4 times in the space of 41 hands. That sounds like extreme bad luck for KK v AX to me, or am I wrong? What are the odds of that happening? I don't think I could have folded, or is that incorrect thinking? (On another note, I'm writing this as therapy against tilting in the next tourney. Calm down! Calm down!)


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Sun Feb 24, 2013, 10:31 PM
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If the opps range is any A, KK will lose just under 1 in every 3 times.

John (JWK24)


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Sun Feb 24, 2013, 11:30 PM
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Would be great one day to get somewhere near those odds with KK, though I think 3-outer Aces will be the death of me.


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Mon Feb 25, 2013, 12:07 AM
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same here to ...i did a blog keeping calm try to read it
 
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Mon Feb 25, 2013, 09:21 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hiddensmiles View Post
same here to ...i did a blog keeping calm try to read it
Thanks for that. I think I need some Zen like state of mind to deal with KK losing to AX 3 times within 25 hands! That was a killer. Good luck with your cards.


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Fri Mar 08, 2013, 02:13 AM
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Since: Feb 2013
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Pokerstoved it:

KK vs AJ - AJ wins 28.8% of the time
KK vs AK - AK wins 30.0% of the time
KK vs Ax - Ax wins 29.7% of the time (31.4% if you include AA as a possibility since you didn't see 2nd card)

The chance of losing all 3 of those hands consecutively - 2.7% (Using the 31.4% for Ax)

Hope this helps
 

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