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NL5 FR , QQ from BU

NL5 FR , QQ from BU - Wed Mar 06, 2013, 04:56 PM
3revos's Avatar
Since: Jan 2011
Posts: 16

Villain plays 12/8, AF=1.5, flopcbet=58 and his aggression frequency on each street shows that he does not bet on the turn or river.
On the river, i thought he would call with a lot of pocket pairs so decided to bet for value. Any other thoughts?
Thu Mar 07, 2013, 08:13 AM
ArtySmokesPS's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 7,359
Hi 3revos,

Villain is relatively tight, but his range should be wide enough in the HJ (if he's positionally aware) that you can 3-bet for value here, giving you the initiative if he calls. Calling isn't terrible, but you don't really want the blinds coming along too, as QQ is more vulnerable to overcards multiway.
As played, you didn't get a great flop, but I'm nearly always peeling off a card here. This particular villain has a fairly low c-bet and very low AF (for a tight player especially). This would lead me to give him credit for an ace more often. I'd check behind on the turn, like you did, with the aim of winning a small pot, not losing a big one.
When villain also checks the river, I definitely think you have the best hand most of the time, but I guess this villain is scared you have the 3 for the nuts. I think hands like 88+ are calling your river bet (although I'd make it half pot to be sure of more crying calls), so it sucks that this guy was so passive.
Make a note that this guy is a scaredy cat that only bets when he's sure he's ahead. You'll be able to bluff him out of a pot sometimes, but be sure to get out of his way when he bets strongly.

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