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$0.50 45 man SnG - Correct Raise and Value Call?

$0.50 45 man SnG - Correct Raise and Value Call? - Sat Mar 16, 2013, 07:20 AM
Maverick_SB1's Avatar
Since: Feb 2011
Posts: 2

This is my first post on the forums, I am hoping by getting some of my plays analysed I can improve my game.

Here I didn't have a lot of stats on the players, but there was a lot of limping at the table. I figured a raise pre flop was acceptable.
However I am not sure if the c-bet nor call was a good play. During the hand I felt like I had good pot odds to call assuming the player had hit a pair on the board, which is what I put the player on.

Would greatly appreciate any views on this. Thanks
Sat Mar 16, 2013, 10:07 AM
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,809
Hi Maverick_SB1!

Welcome to the forum. Here's a link that will help to get you more familiar with many of the options that PSO has to offer.

Early in a tourney, I'm going to be playing more cautious due to the maniacs still being in it, so I'm going to muck JTs from middle position. If I did want to play it (which I could do depending on the others at the table, or later in a tourney), I will make a standard raise to 3BB+1BB for each limper, so I will raise to 120.

The flop misses me and since I'm up against 3 opps, I'm going to check. If I did make a c-bet, due to 3 opps and the board texture, I'd need to make a pot-sized bet and I don't want to put that many chips into the pot on a gutshot draw with unknown opps. This bet would also basically pot-commit me, so instead of my normal c-bet, I'd really have to shove the flop here and I definitely don't want to have my tourney life on the line early in the tourney without a made hand (or very, very strong draw).

For pot odds on the call, I'd have to call 560 into a pot that will be 1750 (32%). I have 4 outs to a straight and possibly 6 more to a J or 10, however, since J9 or T9 is well within the opp's range, I really need to discount some of these outs. Also, if the opp is on a flush draw with a pair, then even my straight won't be good.
If I count 3 outs for the overs and the gutshot, I would have 7 outs and with 2 cards to come, each out is worth 4% equity. This means that my hand is worth 28%. Since the pot equity is higher than my hand equity, I need to muck because I do NOT have the pot odds to call. I also do not want to put my tournament life on the line where I expect to lose.

With this hand, I'm going to muck preflop and wait for either a better hand or one where I'm in position against a lower number of opps.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)


6 Time Bracelet Winner


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