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5NL - fire turn or take a free card?

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5NL - fire turn or take a free card? - Sun Mar 24, 2013, 10:53 AM
(#1)
geoVARTA's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,306
I have some mixed feeling about this hand and couldn't come up with a clear decision after review.

Villain is unknown.
Basically, I raised his donk bet to rep an overpair. He does not believe us and decides to flat with what I think could be a PP, or some TP kind of hand, or maybe a draw.

So the turn is a good card for us which gives us a FD and a gutshot SD but question is, can we get him off his hand on his turn? and will we be at risk of a c/r to blow us off our draw?

Bet or check?

 
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Mon Mar 25, 2013, 11:55 AM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,510
(Head Trainer)
Hi geo,

It seems -EV to be making a move on a villain who is totally unknown. I would generally just fold to his flop donk bet. We have no idea what his range to donk is, and although it may well be a lot of 1 pair hands that we in theory can put pressure on (and that many turn and river cards will devalue), I find it's often the case in Button vs blind or blind v blind that people just won't give you credit for having it and they will check-call you down with their small pair here. Obviously with reads this can change but without them, save the move imo.

I would check back the turn and take the free card as played. As I said above I don't think he's folding 1 pair hands to us, and the 9 is a card that improves a fair bit of his range as well. Since we picked up a bunch of hand equity betting again and getting check-raised (running into a monster) is a disaster, we don't want to get blown off a big draw like this or put in a bunch of $ bad with only 1 card to come, so with little perceived fold equity on a semi-bluff I'd just take the free card.


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