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10NL - 4bet shoved 150bb effective

10NL - 4bet shoved 150bb effective - Wed Apr 03, 2013, 09:03 AM
geoVARTA's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,306
Villain is 40/20/2 (20 Hands)
Will you make that call for 150bb?

Wed Apr 03, 2013, 12:33 PM
ArtySmokesPS's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 7,324
The short answer is no.
This villain is pretty loose, but it's a small sample and he's UTG, so I'm going to assign him the standard pre-flop stack off range of QQ+/AK, against which you have 40% equity. If you've seen him do this with worse (JJ/TT, AQ) then it's a call.
If my numbers are right, there will be $30.02 in the final pot if you call. You'll be calling 13.79 into that pot. 1379/3002 is almost 46%. So when you call this off, you only break even if you have 46% equity. Since you're likely to have only 40%, it's a fold.

For 100bb, I'm happy to get it in, and I'm sure you are too, as AK is villain's most likely hand, and all the dead money would make it worth it.

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