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turning a pair into a bluff

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turning a pair into a bluff - Fri Apr 05, 2013, 04:27 PM
(#1)
lyoung911's Avatar
Since: Aug 2012
Posts: 14
I played this hand quite a while ago, but I found it back and I realised it could be good to get some feedback on it.
Because it has been a while, I don't remember any reads from previous hands, but what I do remember is that it was relatively early on in a freeroll.

After the 4bet preflop I figure villain 9 probably has a bigger pocket pair or a big ace, but with the pot odds I decided to look for a set.
On the flop, my read doesn't really change, so I decide to stay in for the possibility he has ace-high, and I might still hit a set.
I put villain 4 on a middle pair like mine, or possibly also A-high.
With these reads, what do you think of the turn bet?
 
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Fri Apr 05, 2013, 04:54 PM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,479
(Head Trainer)
Hi lyoung,

Since we start the hand with only 11 big blinds, and we put 4 of them in preflop, I would not be folding my hand post.

Given that, I think it's essential we raise the flop bet by V9. It's not clear we're behind him, as it's a limit freeroll and people will overplay broadway cards and small pairs like crazy. And of course he can have AK/AQ, or the big pair, but with so much in the middle and our small stack left I'm going for it. It's essential to raise to confront V4 with having to call a double bet cold so he can't easily (and correctly) call with 2 overcard to us trying to hit a big pair. This may not work in a limit freeroll, but it gives us our best chance to take down an already large pot and protect our hand as best we can.

As played I like the turn bet, although I doubt overpairs to us fold at this point (despite the ace coming), we may get folds from broadway hands which is a nice result, as KQ/KJ/QJ have 10 outs to draw out on us. If called I would check down the river unless we spike an 8, no overpair to our 8's will call the turn and fold the river.

The turn bet isn't really a bluff, as it's hard to believe better hands will fold. But it's more of a protection/value bet against broadway cards while giving a player with a bigger pocket pair a chance to make a mistake, which I think is worth the risk in a large pot with few chips behind.


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