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10NL 6max river nuts

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10NL 6max river nuts - Tue Apr 16, 2013, 04:28 AM
(#1)
Sjekkkk's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 141
http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-h...329_19977F0949

new table, had no read on opponent

1. is my call on turn profitable?
2. is my shove on river vs his range good?

 
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Tue Apr 16, 2013, 11:23 AM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,512
(Head Trainer)
Hi Sj,

I think the turn call is profitable... we're getting 2.6-1 immediate odds on a 4-1 draw to the nuts, with some implied odds. Granted we don't know how much implied odds (will he pay off?) but we also have some additional outs with our overcards that are good sometimes. And we have position, there are a few times he will be just taking a stab with a draw or worse ace high and give up when he's called, allowing us to win unimproved. This won't happen often, but it's non-zero and adds a bit of equity to the situation for us.

You could also make a case for raising all in as a semi-bluff. His play looks like he's hit a jack, and a raise by us now is a credible representation of an overpair. It's a risky proposition without reads though as he's got to be able to both make this read on us and be capable of folding top pair, and that's a tall order for most micro-stakes players.

With less than a pot sized bet left on the river, I think a shove is fine.


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Wed Apr 17, 2013, 04:26 PM
(#3)
Mind_V_Gap's Avatar
Since: Oct 2012
Posts: 34
BronzeStar
i think w that stopping bet villain wants a chip showdown or to buy a card cheaply, said so I'd be all in with ace high most of the time there.
 

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