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50 Cent Sng More shuving ranges

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50 Cent Sng More shuving ranges - Tue Apr 23, 2013, 09:30 AM
(#1)
adsthepro777's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 630


Could i have let this one go with 5 bbs?

Villain stats 15/10
 
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Tue Apr 23, 2013, 10:14 PM
(#2)
ahar010's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 614
Hi Ads,

This is a value vs variance spot here.

Shoving here is profitable for sure. But we will probably lose the hand more than half the time.

Two things can happen when we shove I think.

1) Both villains call
2) One villain reraises and isolates vs us.

If both villains call. We are putting in 2185 into 8504 chip pot so we need 26% equity which we should have here.

If one villain isolates us, this is good for us. We are putting in 2185 into a 6820 chip pot but we only need 32% equity in a heads up pot. Which again we should have.

I think both options we end up with I would estimate just under a 600 chip profit. And busting the tournament about 65% of the time. I think 600 chips being 1/3rd of our stack we should probably take the gamble.

On the bubble you would pass a high variance spot like this. But otherwise short stacked we have to take a chance here.

Andy




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