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5nl AQ facing aggression on Axx board

5nl AQ facing aggression on Axx board - Sat May 25, 2013, 08:33 AM
cheesyfish's Avatar
Since: Dec 2012
Posts: 8
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com

Hero (Button) ($10.04)
SB ($5.59)
BB ($15.91)
UTG ($5.07)
MP ($9.85)
CO ($5)

Preflop: Hero is Button with ,
3 folds, Hero bets $0.15, 1 fold, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32) , , (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.25, BB raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.82) (2 players)
BB bets $1.30, Hero?

Villain is 25/19/2 over 114 hands and note tracker has recorded villain calling 2bet from blinds range (A9s,A4s), called 3b IP with A7o.
Sat May 25, 2013, 10:18 AM
ArtySmokesPS's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 7,346
You made a pretty strong bet on the flop, so he's probably giving you credit for the ace. His flop raise looks like a value-raise to me, so I think it's best to give it up right there, as he's almost certain to lead the turn.
I'd definitely fold the turn. It looks so much like two pairs, and this pot is getting big.
I'm presuming that the 2 in his 25/19/2 stats is his AF. If so, he's not particularly aggressive post-flop, so it's unlikely he's raising draws very often. I'd give him credit for two pairs or a set and get out of the way.

A stat I really like for this situation, once you've got a decent sample, is "Raise flop %". If it's less than 10%, he has a monster, basically.

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