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NL2 ZOOM: QQ, flopped top set, wet board, multiway, push good?

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NL2 ZOOM: QQ, flopped top set, wet board, multiway, push good? - Sat Jun 15, 2013, 01:48 PM
(#1)
braveslice's Avatar
Since: Feb 2013
Posts: 568
Question: Was my push on flop OK? Is my hand range guessing OK?



Villain3 is regular VPIP=27, PRF=21, AF=7, WWSF=75, 3B=9, 33 hands, no reads

Villain4 is 66/33.

Question: Was my push OK? Is my hand range guessing OK?

I would guess his range is Ad9+,55,88,Q8,KK,KdQ+, any reasonable made flush?

Equity Win Tie
MP2 31.34% 30.73% 0.60% { 88, 55, Q8s, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, KdJd, QdJd, AdTd, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Td9d, 9d8d, Q8o, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AdQh, AdQs, AdQc, AdJh, AdJs, AdJc, AdTh, AdTs, AdTc, Ad9h, Ad9s, Ad9c, KdQh, KdQs, KdQc, KdJh, KdJs, KdJc }
MP3 68.66% 68.06% 0.60% { QsQc }
 
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Sat Jun 15, 2013, 08:36 PM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,499
(Head Trainer)
Hi brave,

I don't think we should be including the naked Kd in his range to bet/3b/5b the flop playing 125bb effective. When you raise the flop it should be clear you are not going away and a reraise semi-bluff with the naked Kd has no bluff component. (it's 2nl so maybe he's not able to figure that out). The naked Ad is also optimistic imo, but more possible than the naked Kd. I think we are looking at a range of flushes and sets in all likelihood. We still have close to 60% equity vs. that range thanks to destroying the smaller sets and having a lot of outs vs. flushes, so yes I think your push is fine.


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