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Heloo, i just want 2 know if i had a good judgement or bad

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Heloo, i just want 2 know if i had a good judgement or bad - Fri Jul 12, 2013, 01:18 PM
(#1)
xdan_ch_danx's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 7
Villain got Vpip/Pfr 11/11 ...and i got only 9 hands with him


 
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Fri Jul 12, 2013, 05:34 PM
(#2)
Croyd93's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 639
Hi Dan,

Firstly I'd like to welcome you to PokerSchoolOnline!

I think you played this fine and I too would call off when he shoves. The pot is laying you great odds and you only need to be right 25% of the time when you call here. I think that when the villain shoves he has a fairly strong range that can include flushes, sets, two pair and even some TP+draw hands. Some players may even go wild with any top pair here, however given that we have limited info of 9 hands I would treat him as an unknown.

Against this range of hands, KK,88,66,22,QcJc,QcTc,JcTc,Tc9c,KdQc,KhQc,KsQc, we have 26% equity so against this range it is +EV to call. However notice that our equity is only so strong as we hold the Ac, if we didn't have the redraw to go with our pair then our equity would drop to below 10% thus making it a fold.

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Last edited by Croyd93; Fri Jul 12, 2013 at 05:39 PM..
 
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Sun Jul 14, 2013, 11:36 AM
(#3)
ArtySmokesPS's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 7,355
Hi xdan_ch_danx!

I think 3-bet squeezing pre-flop is good, and it's a little surprising to see both villains call. The c-bet is fine. Villain can call with various made hands and draws. I think he'll call with hands like TT-99, as he expects you to c-bet this flop with a high frequency, but he also has sets and some flush draws in his range, although there aren't many of the latter since you hold the nut-flush blocker. The flush gets there on the turn, and now you can bet for value with the draw to the nuts as a backup plan. When villain check-raises all in, he often has a flush, but he can also make this play with a set or top pair that doesn't want you hitting the flush. Without the , this is a clear fold, but with it, it's a case of looking at the pot odds, counting your outs and comparing the odds. Since the shove is for $7.15 effective, the final pot will be $17.68, and you need to call an additional $4.46. This means you need equity of 446/1768 to make a profitable call. That translates to 25%. Against a made flush, you only have 7 outs, which is about 15%, but vs sets and top pair, you have 9 outs to the nuts, and may even be ahead, or freerolling vs another AK. The range Oli put together looks pretty good, and against that range, you have 26% equity. That makes this really close, but it's slightly profitable to go with your hand here, as you're contributing 25% of pot, when you'll win 26% of the time.
If stacks had been deeper, so the shove was a bigger proportion of the pot, a fold would be best, but calling is fine here.

Hope this helps!
Cheers,
Arty


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