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2NL 6-max Zoom QQ

2NL 6-max Zoom QQ - Thu Jul 18, 2013, 09:51 AM
fp_boss77's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 490
Hi, villain is unkown, but is playing just one table.
I ranged him on many hands that i'd beat, so I raised AI.
Any thoughts ?

Thu Jul 18, 2013, 10:14 AM
ArtySmokesPS's Avatar
Since: Oct 2011
Posts: 7,353
This one comes down to combinatronics. Villain's most likely range for raising the flop is sets (99 and 66, as 33 probably doesn't call the pre-flop 3-bet) overpairs (JJ, TT, and the other QQ, as KK+ usually 4-bets pre) and possbily the NFD with AKhh.
You're beating 12 combos of overpairs, losing to 6 combos of sets, and a slight dog to the NFD. Since you're a favourite against about twice as many combos as you're losing to, your equity is in the 60-65% range, so getting it in is fine.
Here's the equity simulation:

---- Equity Win Tie
Hero 60.39% 58.01% 2.39% { }
Vill 39.61% 37.22% 2.39% { QQ-99, 66, }

There's also the general rule that: "In a 3-bet pot, 100bb deep, it's standard to stack off with TPTK or a big overpair". It's especially true once you've made a c-bet. You're pot committed and can't fold, unless villain is a super-nit that only gets it in with sets.

Bracelet Winner
Thu Jul 18, 2013, 11:51 AM
GamblingProp's Avatar
Since: Jan 2013
Posts: 714
Yeah standard spot there.
I imagine that he is playing that way TT+, A9, nut flush draw or flush draw with 2 overcaards.
So yeap, we no fold QQ!
Thu Jul 18, 2013, 12:32 PM
topthecat's Avatar
Since: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,962
I hate these spots at 2NL Zoom. You wait an age for a decent hand and when you get it, your continuation bet is raised on a low flop with a flush draw.

Mathematically, the shove to his raise is the correct play, but 90% of the time I find myself getting the money in as an underdog because they are never/rarely bluffing at 2NL.

Fold and you are left with a stack of 1.90. It is very difficult to do and is read dependent as Arty says but to me it looks more +EV in the long run.



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