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AKs on a BB

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AKs on a BB - Thu Aug 08, 2013, 10:00 AM
(#1)
Shichi-77's Avatar
Since: Jul 2012
Posts: 607
Hello, opps are tight players,V5 VP15/PR13/3B5,V7 VP16/PR13/3B6. I would 4bet IP , but didn't wan't to 4bet OOP and to play it without initiative OOP. What's best decision there ?
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Thu Aug 08, 2013, 06:10 PM
(#2)
geoVARTA's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,306
Hello Schichi!

Although these players seem to have TAG-ish stats, I think from these positions they would loosen up and our hand is at the top of our range.

Given that, I think I wouldn't mind 4betting here to 22bbs and getting it in. (If we 4bet, V5 shoves, and V7 shoves I'd consider folding)

I think the BTN would be 3betting more than 5% vs HJ mixing in some bluffs; if we make it 3.52$ then to show an immediate profit we need them to fold 63% of the time: 3.36$ (our bet) / 5.28$ (the pot after we bet)

If BTN continues with the top 3% of his range then it means they will fold ~60% of the time (Say they 3bet 7% from that position vs MP/LP (7 [his 3betting range] - 3 [his continuation range] ) / 7 [his 3betting range] = ~60%

Let's do some EV calculations:
. If they fold we will win 5.44$ ( our 3.52$ 4bet + 1.36$ + 0.48$ + 0.08$ ) - Immediate profit
. If we get it in preflop vs { AA-QQ, AK } we have 42% equity
(0.42 x 43.06) - (0.58 x 21.25) = + 5.76

Just a side note to what you have mentioned: "I would 4bet IP , but didn't wan't to 4bet OOP and to play it without initiative OOP." If you 4bet and get called you HAVE initiative, but you are OOP.
Initiative is when you have taken the betting lead.

Hope this makes sense!

GL at the tables!
 
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Fri Aug 09, 2013, 01:26 AM
(#3)
Shichi-77's Avatar
Since: Jul 2012
Posts: 607
Thanks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by geoVARTA View Post
Hello Schichi!

to play it without initiative OOP." If you 4bet and get called you HAVE initiative.
Initiative is when you have taken the betting lead.

Hope this makes sense!

GL at the tables!
I meant just to call OOP.

Last edited by Shichi-77; Fri Aug 09, 2013 at 03:09 AM..
 
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Fri Aug 09, 2013, 05:16 AM
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geoVARTA's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,306
 

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