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River bluff or showdown ?

River bluff or showdown ? - Thu Sep 12, 2013, 03:37 AM
I AM XXXX's Avatar
Since: Jun 2012
Posts: 30

player 5

hands = 703
vpip = 15
pfr = 9
f c bet = 79
t c bet = 71
r c bet = 33

Is this a good river bluff or is it better to showdown with 2 pair on the board and ace kicker

Last edited by I AM XXXX; Thu Sep 12, 2013 at 05:23 AM..
Thu Sep 12, 2013, 05:18 AM
birdayy's Avatar
Since: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,179
I'd usually 3b pre with AQs but given his stats flatting is ok.

I think we should be raising this flop a high amount. We have an enormous amount of equity with NFD + 2 overs that we are missing value by flatting. Infact, i'd be happy getting the money in OTF.

As played, calling the turn is fine. River is a check however. We have a decent amount of showdown value and beat all PP which got counterfeited.
Thu Sep 12, 2013, 05:28 AM
geoVARTA's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,306

Looks like someone's been working on improving their red line

I think you're betting to get splits to fold?
Our hand has some SD value against missed FDs but also its a good card to check to let missed FDs bluff at the pot.
I think AA/KK/QQ/TT/99 might employ a pot control line OTT by x/c-ing and hands that will bet will be Jx, draws, and air. So I think checking here is more optimal.

We might have taken a raise line OTF with the NFD + 2overcards by the way.
Thu Sep 12, 2013, 02:50 PM
mike2198's Avatar
Since: Jan 2013
Posts: 1,485
What do you think villain is checking there?

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