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5NL Zoom (6 max) - 99 (CO) Vs All in OTR (BTN)

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5NL Zoom (6 max) - 99 (CO) Vs All in OTR (BTN) - Mon Oct 07, 2013, 04:45 PM
(#1)
Prodigy237's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 336
BronzeStar


My stats:

VPIP 16; PFR 13; 3B 3 (279)

No information on Villain, other than he started the hand with less than 50BB... so didn't have him down as a reg.

Pre-flop:

I raised with 99 (CO). Villain (BTN) called.

Flop:

Opted to Cbet with o/pair OTF & Villain called.

Turn:

Turn card wasn't a great card as straights got there & now there was also a f/draw as well... But not wanting to give a free card decided to bet again (1/2 pot) & was planning to fold to a raise. Villain called.

River:

Horrible river card. After checking... Villain moves 'all in'

Questions:

1). What hands would Villain call 2 streets & shove OTR?
2). If Villain has hands like 6x; 4x; 55; 78... Would he not raise beforehand?
3). Is there any argument for a call OTR... or is it an easy fold?

Welcome your comments / feedback?

BR

Tony [aka Prodigy237]

Last edited by Prodigy237; Mon Oct 07, 2013 at 04:49 PM..
 
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Mon Oct 07, 2013, 09:54 PM
(#2)
CaRLoS_DZ87's Avatar
Since: Jul 2011
Posts: 184
BronzeStar
1). What hands would Villain call 2 streets & shove OTR?

- He has low 3bet, so TT-QQ, 55, 66 and 44.

2). If Villain has hands like 6x; 4x; 55; 78... Would he not raise beforehand?

- 55 and 4x would be bad to raise, 6x and 78 some would raise other don't.

3). Is there any argument for a call OTR... or is it an easy fold?

easy fold, he would have to be floating with some back door draws to have a bluff here, don't really think he shoves 77 and 88 here, if he had somethink like A3d, he now has two pair with A kicker so he would check.

You played the hand well IMO.
 
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Tue Oct 08, 2013, 06:34 AM
(#3)
geoVARTA's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,306
Hi Prodigy,

I think Villian can start with 25% of hands
{TT-22, AQo-A7o, AQs-A2s, KQo-65o, KJo, KQs-54s, KJs-QTs, KTs}

OTF, I think we might be floated with almost his entire calling range but when
we bet the turn he will fold his misses and continue with:

{TT-22, A8o, A7o, A8s-A2s, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd, Td9d, 98-54}

Though some hands might raise the turn, with their stack size I think both SD valueand strong hands can just call down.

By the river their range will constitute of:
. 19% Fullhouse+
. 12% Straight
. 15% Overpairs
. 3% Middle pair
and 51% no made hands

So now the question is whether they are capable of bluffing the river with their misses or not because against
their Overpairs, straights+ we have 21% equity and the pot odds says we need 32% to make the call. Though some hands might elect to check back the river too.
 
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Tue Oct 08, 2013, 10:46 AM
(#4)
Prodigy237's Avatar
Since: Oct 2010
Posts: 336
BronzeStar
Hi George & Carlos,

Thank you for your comments / feedback [... as always].

This was such a tough spot OTR... In short, I tried to narrow Villain's calling range p/f which had me beat e.g. PPs 66, 55, 44; Ax combos A6, A4; connectors / FH combos 65, 64, 54, 43 & s/draws 78, 32.

However, I struggled with the idea that the Villain could resist 'not' raising with these hands OTF or OTT [... with some poss exceptions] & similarly with o/pairs as would expect them to raise p/f with QQ - TT etc Vs open raise (CO).

I can also see why it should be a fold... & would 'snap' fold against a reg in this spot, but in the end decided to make the call Vs unknown Recr Player for reasons above. Here's how the hand played out.



Thanks again.

Tony [aka Prodigy237]

Last edited by Prodigy237; Tue Oct 08, 2013 at 11:19 AM.. Reason: Added
 

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