Home / Community / Forum / Poker Education / Texas Hold'Em Cash Games /

16nl: Calling down the Triple Barrel

16nl: Calling down the Triple Barrel - Sun Nov 03, 2013, 01:00 AM
birdayy's Avatar
Since: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,179
Stats - VPIP: 22, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 3, Hands: 202

Villain is a pretty solid reg who i've seen at 16nl and 25nl who plays 6 or so tables.

Blind war so likely that people get a bit more aggro.

Think the call pre is fine given we are IP and a pretty playable hand.

Flop top pair which is always nice so pretty standard call.

Turn is a brick. He can barrel this with a few draws like gutshots, open enders, flushdraws, and obviously value hands which beat us.

When the K comes OTR (which doesn't really hit his range when he's double barreled) I think we can treat it as a relative brick.

Therefore his range is pretty polarized between value hands and bluffs so we can call if has has a large enough % of bluffs.

Thoughts? Is my thought process wrong?

You guys calling down here?
Sun Nov 03, 2013, 06:29 AM
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
I agree with your play on all streets.

If he's taking you to ValueTown, well done to him. But if you're going to call with T9 I think there's not too much that's scary about that board.

On the river he likely thinks you have the 9 and is hoping to get you off the hand when the "scare" card comes.
Mon Nov 04, 2013, 02:14 PM
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,499
(Head Trainer)
Hi birdayy,

This is a pretty marginal preflop call imo, not sure it's profitable tbh... There's just so many hands in his blind war range that dominate T9. While there are possibly a few that we dominate, I don't think it's enough to compensate. SB steal % isn't given, but if he's way out of line I think our hand plays better restealing, and if he's not grossly out of line I would prefer to just fold this one.

Flop call is fine if 2/3rds pot is a standard sizing for him. The turn call I'm not so sure about. This is not a good turn barreling card for air, and yet he is barreling, and for an increased sizing of 71% pot. Seems like exactly the kind of action to suck value out of 1 pair hands that are suspicious blind v blind. I think we should be folding on the turn to this action quite often tbh unless there is some history of him routinely double barreling air or overplaying Blind v blind spots.

This is the kind of spot where I'm looking at their barreling stats... if their f/t/r cbet %'s are 80/50/42, we have a clear and easy fold. If they are 92/88/82, we have much less qualms about calling down.

Incidentally, it would also be useful to know how thinly he value bets. When you say he's polarized between value hands and bluffs I think what you mean is between monsters and bluffs (I mean obv he is either betting for value or as a bluff if he's a solid reg). I don't agree that his river betting range is necessarily polarized to monsters or bluffs though... for instance if I were the villain, I would be value betting you on the river with 1 pair hands as weak as Q9 here, since the K is largely a blank for your range and I expect to get hero called by 1 pair more often blind v blind.

Head Live Trainer
Check out my Videos

4 Time Bracelet Winner


Getting PokerStars is easy: download and install the PokerStars game software, create your free player account, and validate your email address. Clicking on the download poker button will lead to the installation of compatible poker software on your PC of 51.7 MB, which will enable you to register and play poker on the PokerStars platform. To uninstall PokerStars use the Windows uninstaller: click Start > Control Panel and then select Add or Remove programs > Select PokerStars and click Uninstall or Remove.

Copyright (c) PokerSchoolOnline.com. All rights reserved, Rational Group, Douglas Bay Complex, King Edward Road, Onchan, Isle of Man, IM3 1DZ. You can email us on support@pokerschoolonline.com