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Rule of 4 and 2 Help

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Rule of 4 and 2 Help - Thu Nov 07, 2013, 03:29 PM
(#1)
BifyClytoris's Avatar
Since: Sep 2013
Posts: 14
So I am just getting to grips with poker strategy and I have now been playing for just under two months.

Something that is bothering me is when on a draw and contemplating a call, we use rule of 4 and 2 to work out if the pot odds are in our favour.

However, say we have a flush draw then we have a 36% chance of hitting it by the river. So if the pot odds are less than 36% then this is a good call.

I was reading JWK24's blog about out pricing opponents on draws and if an opponent is on a flush draw then he has an 18% chance of hitting on the turn.

This means that if I had pot odds of 25% this would be a -EV play if I called yet the rule of 4 and 2 says it would be a +EV.

Can anyone help me with this? The latter makes more sense to me and I look at following this but any comments would help me out.
 
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Thu Nov 07, 2013, 03:41 PM
(#2)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,787
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Hi BifyClytoris!

The only time that I can use 4% is if there is no more betting that can happen on the turn.

John (JWK24)


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6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
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Thu Nov 07, 2013, 03:49 PM
(#3)
BifyClytoris's Avatar
Since: Sep 2013
Posts: 14
Do you mean if you are all in?
 
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Thu Nov 07, 2013, 04:18 PM
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JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,787
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Yes, either I have to be all-in or my opp has to be all-in.. in order to use 4% on the flop.

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
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Fri Nov 08, 2013, 12:07 PM
(#5)
BifyClytoris's Avatar
Since: Sep 2013
Posts: 14
Thanks. I understand better now.
 

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