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5 NL zoom 6max - Tunr and River decision with set

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5 NL zoom 6max - Tunr and River decision with set - Wed Nov 20, 2013, 05:54 PM
(#1)
braveslice's Avatar
Since: Feb 2013
Posts: 568
Villain 33 hands. 25/19/9 -> probably regular. WWSF:6/10, WTSD:7/10, WSD:4/7

Is this obvious flush he has?

PokerStars Zoom No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php

Button ($5.40)
SB ($22.20)
BB ($5.65)
UTG ($5)
Hero (MP) ($5.19)
CO ($2.87)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 7, 7
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.15, 3 folds, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32) Q, 5, 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.18, BB calls $0.18

Turn: ($0.68) 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.46, BB raises to $1.25, Hero calls $0.79

River: ($3.18) 6 (2 players)
BB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

Total pot: $6.18 | Rake: $0.26

Results below:
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Thu Nov 21, 2013, 02:56 AM
(#2)
Roland GTX's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,905
Hi braveslice

Everything looks good up to the turn. Now you have a set, but a flush is possible and you are assuming this guy is a reg. What hands would the villain call with that you are beating in this spot? He is probably folding most hands that you are beating. Moreover, you may improve to a full house on the river. If he does have a flush, you might win a big pot off him. I prefer to check behind on the turn and reevaluate on the river. Since we have kept the villain's range wide with this line, we will be able to call a river bet.

As played, calling the turn raise is going to be read dependent. But I think you need to fold to the river bet for sure. He is not bluffing with this line.

Roland GTX
 
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Thu Nov 21, 2013, 03:45 AM
(#3)
braveslice's Avatar
Since: Feb 2013
Posts: 568
Hi Roland!

Great you find my turn bet to be a mistake; it wasn't even doubted by me.

OTT he will call hands I beat: {KQ,AQ,55,22,Acx}?

Your line gives me easy play on the river so I see the merits of it. But aren’t you basically saying OTT that be scared of the flushes? Just the opposite what the books say?

I try to fold river next time, but those odds are so tempting.
 
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Thu Nov 21, 2013, 04:30 AM
(#4)
Roland GTX's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,905
Depending on the opponent, I might check a turn flush hoping to check-raise, or I might lead out. So, I don't really feel like Im telling the opp that Im scared of the flush. But, yes, I see your point

However, my primary strategy at 5NL is to create situations where I can stack my opponent. Rather than winning a small pot by betting the turn and forcing non-flush hands to fold, I would check. One, it takes away the villain's raising option in case we are behind. Two, it keeps his range wide. And three, we can now call a river raise as it will cost about the same as betting myself on the turn. Yet, as I said, if we make a full house on the river we will quite often win his entire stack. I want to be getting all in with confidence rather than bluff catching. I'm pretty tight at 10NL and lower though since I tend to focus primarily on value betting.

Roland GTX
 

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