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AKo vs Jesus - Hubble's FR

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AKo vs Jesus - Hubble's FR - Wed Nov 20, 2013, 06:56 PM
(#1)
IBNash's Avatar
Since: Oct 2013
Posts: 177
Jesus aka Villain 9 (67/0/1) Villain 5 (57/14/1) over a 15 hand sample.
I'm at a loss if calling the shove was correct, people happily shove if they have TP but these 2 blew me away.
Villain 5 had JJ but still called the cbet and shove.



Would raising to 7BB (140) instead of 5BB (100) have averted this?

Last edited by IBNash; Wed Nov 20, 2013 at 07:15 PM..
 
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Wed Nov 20, 2013, 07:39 PM
(#2)
JWK24's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 24,819
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Hi IBNash!

The key here is the preflop betting. With AKo from the SB, I get 4 opps that limp. I need to make a standard raise which is to 3BB+1BB for each limper, so I need to raise to 140. I cannot raise to less than this or I can be giving the opps the correct odds to try to outdraw me (which unfortunately happens here). I need to avoid doing this, as when I do, it's my own fault that I lose the hand.

I flop top pair and I need to make a value bet here. The key is the sizing of it. With 3 opps, a standard bet is 3/4 pot (330 chips). Once again, I cannot bet less than this or the opps can be getting the correct odds.

The turn pairs the board and with 2 opps that called my flop bet, I have two choices. I can either lead and shove (not a great option unless I have a read on the opp) or I can check and fold to a large bet. I cannot do something in-between. In a freeroll, where opps will stay with anything, I'm check/folding.

The keys with this hand are the bet sizes. They were all made way too small and priced in the opp, then when they see that they flop 2 pair, I need to let go of the hand on the turn after they call the flop bet.
When the opp gets priced in, it's my own fault if I lose the hand... because I priced them in.

Hope this helps and good luck at the tables.

John (JWK24)


Super-Moderator



6 Time Bracelet Winner


 
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Thu Nov 21, 2013, 09:03 AM
(#3)
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
What JWK says is absolutely right.

However I would add that because this is a tournament, you should massively err on the side of caution in the first couple of levels. Once you have two people showing resistance against your Preflop raise and your Flop Cbet, I would be very hesitant to continue to play for stacks.

I know this seems really nitty but just check-folding the turn might be the best line. Even if you double up against their AQ, you aren't massively increasing your chances of winning the tournament. Whereas if you bust out or get to 100 chips, your chances of winning are enormously reduced - to almost zero!
 

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