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10Nl 6-max 88 River

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10Nl 6-max 88 River - Tue Jan 07, 2014, 12:54 PM
(#1)
fp_boss77's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 490
Hi, villain is playing 12/8/0 over 108 hands.

On the river, should I just call his 3B or shove over the top ? or even think on folding ?



Cheers!
 
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Tue Jan 07, 2014, 01:29 PM
(#2)
FireMedic815's Avatar
Since: May 2012
Posts: 2,079
I think you played the river fine, we only lose to AA,A9, and pocket nines. if he has one of those hands so be it.

I would have probably checked back the flop. 88 is not a monster vs him and I don't know if he folds TT-KK for one bet and we have showdown value. A check also allows us to call a turn bet and re evaluate the river. as I said above I think your river play is fine.

gl at the tables

Last edited by FireMedic815; Tue Jan 07, 2014 at 01:32 PM..
 
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Tue Jan 07, 2014, 06:47 PM
(#3)
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
On the flop, I'd be highly suspicious when a nit doesn't CBet an Axx flop. I would expect villain to CBet nearly all of his range apart from the nut hands like AA, A9 (unlikely) or 99. Even if he does have something like KK-TT that he doesn't want to CBet with, I don't think he's going to fold to a flop float bet. Therefore I'd just check it back and fold if unimproved.

You decide to bet. I think if you're going to take this line to try and fold out KK-TT, I think you should continue to bet the turn.

The river is an interesting spot. I actually think this is probably a fold unless you think he's capable of bluffing.

What value hands could he have that he would raise like this after raising from UTG? I think he's got no 9x in his preflop range other than 99. He wouldn't play AK/AQ like this, he'd likely just CBet the flop or play it like this and just call your river raise. The only value hand you're beating is 66, but I doubt he calls the flop bet with this.

Therefore realistically you have to think he's got complete air or overplayed AK about 25% of the time - I doubt that this is the case.
 

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