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Blind versus blind situation

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Blind versus blind situation - Wed Jan 08, 2014, 12:22 PM
(#1)
morduk666's Avatar
Since: Aug 2011
Posts: 84


Im assuming we are getting crushed if he bets?
Do I expect get two streets of value if I cbet turn?
Is it better to bet, check, bet?
 
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Wed Jan 08, 2014, 03:14 PM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,512
(Head Trainer)
Hi morduk,

No reads on villain? I wouldn't assume we are beat if we check. But I do think our hand is only good for 3 streets of value generally, even blind v blind, on such a dry flop. We are not going to get credit for an ace just because we c-bet the flop though, with a wide SB range this flop actually misses our perceived range a lot. I'm inclined to bet the turn, because he can have a lot of flop calls that improve on this turn by making a worse pair or a draw, and also a number of hands we could barrel this card that aren't strong, like KJ/KT/JT.

One read that would be nice to have is 3b vs. steal... at this stake I'd assume it's not high until I see differently, but at higher stakes it's not uncommon to see TAGs and LAGs with very high 3b vs steal %'s... against one of those types I would probably check the turn quite often since they rarely have an ace in this spot as they would 3B most aces... big ones for value and rag ones for resteals with a blocker. Which means their flop range is weighted towards 9x and floats + the occasional 66. Unless their float hit a Q they probably can't call another bet, but may well take a stab themselves if we check, so against this type bet/check/bet is a nice line imo.


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