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2$NL - 6-max What to do on the river; is my reasoning correct

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2$NL - 6-max What to do on the river; is my reasoning correct - Fri Jan 10, 2014, 07:38 PM
(#1)
betsizer's Avatar
Since: Dec 2013
Posts: 560
Villain_1 VP:18 PR:17 AFq:54 AF:3.5 (66)



As you can see V_1 is aggressive pre- and post flop.
In this hand I choose to call with pocket 2's as it is fairly easy to play in that position, spike a set or fold (imo)


When the flop comes down I am most likely way ahead.
When V_1 bets, I min-raise cause I don't want to lose my customer . In retrospect I think min-betting was showing too much strength and perhaps I should have made the 3-bet somewhat larger (around 40cents perhaps). So I'm not too happy with my choice there. I surely lost value here because of the scare cards that come on turn and river

Then the turn comes and this is a scare card. The villain checks and it is time to range him
He could be playing a lot of Ax hands that would beat me, however as his raise came from middle position it is not necessarily very strong so I would give him a hand like
AT+,JT+,QT+,Axs and pockets 8+ (please correct me if this is wrong, I need to work on ranging )
As he is fairly agressive but checked the turn, this might indicate that he is worried about the A himself or he might be just checking towards me as I took initiative on the flop.
However as there is now a flush draw as well, he should protect his hand if he has made the straight. I feel V_1 is playing a good game and I would expect him to bet here with an Ace (for value and protection). Therefore I put him on a broadway hand and or a pocket and I incline towards a pocked because he called the re-raise on the flop. That would suggest that he has a made hand
I decide to check behind because I don't want to make this pot too large. Furthermore I have some time on the river to decide what to do.

So now the river comes and the third spade hits the deck. As things stand, I will lose from any A or any 2 spades

Now the villain bets about half the pot. What do I do ?
I rethink and decide that villain is most likely on a pocket pair, therefore no flush possible and straight would be a bit under his range (6-6). However an Ax card I cannot fully exclude


And therefore, this is what happened



Many thanks for your reactions
 
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Fri Jan 10, 2014, 08:23 PM
(#2)
TrumpinJoe's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 4,557
You were ranging your opponent but not yourself. A larger flop raise looks like protection against the draws as much as strength. Suited connectors and Aces are in your calling range. With an overpair they might 3-bet.
 
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Sat Jan 11, 2014, 12:55 AM
(#3)
braveslice's Avatar
Since: Feb 2013
Posts: 568
You make it too complicated for 2NL. 1. If you have a strong hand you bet big 2. If you have a good hand you start betting until you get raised, then you can start thinking :p
 
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Sat Jan 11, 2014, 01:28 AM
(#4)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,499
(Head Trainer)
Hi betsizer,

Villain is making a fairly large c-bet, I agree we should be raising larger than min on the flop. He can have a lot of overpairs that will be devalued on the turn and not like to give action, that will at least call the flop raise and maybe reraise. Consider a hand like TT for example. This holding probably won't fold to a flop raise to .45c, and if he decides you might be on a draw or 66-99, may raise again and will basically be committing for stacks right on the flop. That's great, as the following turn cards all might slow down your action: J, Q, K, A, 3, 6, spade... that's a lot of cards.

As played I think checking back the turn is fine, and certainly am calling river after we check back against this guy.


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Sat Jan 11, 2014, 06:10 AM
(#5)
betsizer's Avatar
Since: Dec 2013
Posts: 560
Hi all, thank you for the feedback.
 

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