Home / Community / Forum / Poker Education / Texas Hold'Em Cash Games /

10Nl 6-max Zoom QJo BvsB

Old
Default
10Nl 6-max Zoom QJo BvsB - Tue Jan 14, 2014, 08:49 AM
(#1)
fp_boss77's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 490
Hi, villain is playing 18/14/5 over 288 hands.
I'm not sure if the stats are enough fore these stats but I'll post these here:
WTSD% 17% (29 hands)
W$SD% 60% (5 hands)

What you think of my line here ?
I folded the river since a lot of hands that makes sense beats me, TT,KJ,AJ,TJ.

Should I have folded the hand before ? I mean his check raise on the missed c-bet was strange to me.



Cheers!
 
Old
Default
Tue Jan 14, 2014, 09:45 AM
(#2)
birdayy's Avatar
Since: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,179
Not folding river with the near top of our range. He could be getting tricky with an OP.
 
Old
Default
Tue Jan 14, 2014, 06:21 PM
(#3)
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
The villain seems like a prototypical TAG, tight preflop and aggressive postflop which is why he doesn't get to showdown that much. It would be interesting to see how often he steals from the SB.

Therefore I think he is NEVER taking this line with a bluff. It's a question of what he considers to be his value range and what hands he might steal from the SB with.

Your pot odds are 2.57:1 meaning you need to be ahead 28% of the time to break even.

I think most half decent villains will play this way with TT, AJ, KJ, QJ, JT, which you are obviously crushed against (you will chop the pot 8.8%). However just including a couple of hand combinations that you beat raises your equity significantly. Include J9 and you win 19% and chop 7%. Add just one overpair and your equity jumps to 37% win and 5.6% chop, which easily gives you the correct pot odds to call.

So this situation boils down to whether you think your opponent could play an overpair like this. I just don't think that this villain type is going to check/raise a pretty wet board with AA and run the risk of having the flop checked through and face a scary turn. I think he'd CBet all his overpairs on this flop texture. Therefore I think the fold is the correct decision. If you had KJ against villain's non-overpair range, a call would be almost break even (23.5% win and 8.8% chop).
 

Getting PokerStars is easy: download and install the PokerStars game software, create your free player account, and validate your email address. Clicking on the download poker button will lead to the installation of compatible poker software on your PC of 51.7 MB, which will enable you to register and play poker on the PokerStars platform. To uninstall PokerStars use the Windows uninstaller: click Start > Control Panel and then select Add or Remove programs > Select PokerStars and click Uninstall or Remove.

Copyright (c) PokerSchoolOnline.com. All rights reserved, Rational Group, Douglas Bay Complex, King Edward Road, Onchan, Isle of Man, IM3 1DZ. You can email us on support@pokerschoolonline.com