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2nl Zoom - 66

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2nl Zoom - 66 - Wed Jan 29, 2014, 07:46 AM
(#1)
pullin1988's Avatar
Since: Apr 2013
Posts: 717
Hi guys,

Please could you analyse my hand below.


Stats on villain are the following:

33/21/1.4 (VPIP/PFR/AF) 341 hands

My analysis

Preflop: Don't really raise pocket 66s in this position, but decided to this time to mix things up.

Flop: Criminal not to cbet. He can call with alot worse hands (e.g. AT, flush draws, overpairs, etc)

Turn: Again I bet because I am OOP, but also could still have worse hands at this point - although the flush got there. There is also the possiblitly now that I could boat up. If his raises at this point I believe that he has the flush and I will give up (although I will call a minraise hoping to boat up)

River: I decided to bet again, given his stats being LAG preflop and then passive post flop. Again if I get raised here I am giving up. I still think there is value here, although I don't know how thin.




Any of you guys agree? My question is should we be betting the turn and river against this opponent? Given that his aggression factor is 1.4, if he raises then I am most likely behind.


Cheers,

Pullin
 
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Wed Jan 29, 2014, 10:24 AM
(#2)
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,476
(Head Trainer)
Hi pullin,

I like your line and reasoning here. I would offer the following small differences as ideas:

Turn- size larger for value here, more like .25c. Also, don't be quick to release to a raise that isn't a min-raise. If the raise does mean a flush, then I expect implied odds of his entire stack on the river when we fill (he's not folding), so many raise sizings won't price us out. And, he he might sometimes raise with a hand like AsTc that will typically check down unimproved, so we will still win when we're good.

River- size larger for value


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Old
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Wed Jan 29, 2014, 10:56 AM
(#3)
pullin1988's Avatar
Since: Apr 2013
Posts: 717
Thanks for the advice.

Cheers,

Pullin
 

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