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10NL 6-max Zoom AA

10NL 6-max Zoom AA - Fri Jan 31, 2014, 07:54 AM
fp_boss77's Avatar
Since: Jan 2012
Posts: 490
Hi, villain is unknown.

How to proceed on the flop ?

Fri Jan 31, 2014, 11:12 AM
TheLangolier's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 13,512
(Head Trainer)
Hi fp,

Size a bit better pre imo vs an UTG open (more likely strength) on this depth of money.

He's committing himself on the flop so I don't think he's folding. My best guess range evaluation is that he's usually on 77+, so some of that we beat obviously and some we do not. It feels precarious, we're only light years ahead of QQ and KK (the latter of which most players would 4-bet pre). JJ has a gut shot and TT has 10 outs to improve. Still, if we get conservative and exclude all KK combos from his range, we are still a 52% equity favorite vs. 77-QQ. Even if we add in JTs to give him some *****d combos we still have 45%, which is plenty with the money already in the middle (we need just over 39% stacking off now). So our path seems clear.

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