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NL10 SH - facing massive river bet w/ top 2 pair.

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NL10 SH - facing massive river bet w/ top 2 pair. - Sat Feb 08, 2014, 07:09 PM
(#1)
pockettones's Avatar
Since: Mar 2013
Posts: 151
Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10, $0.02 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP: $23.30 (233 bb)
CO: $24.50 (245 bb)
BTN: $20 (200 bb)
Hero (SB): $12.86 (128.6 bb)
BB: $25.47 (254.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J K
MP calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, BB calls $0.30, MP calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.30) 5 2 K (3 players)
Hero bets $0.60, BB calls $0.60, MP folds

Turn: ($2.50) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $1.90, Hero calls $1.90

River: ($6.30) J (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $6, Hero calls $6

Results:
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No reads on villain, shaping up to be tag. Didn't really think through this hand was more like, got top 2 pair, not folding lol. I would expect villain to be more aggressive because its blind vs blind. Dont think he has AK here cuz of bet sizing, think he either has missed flush, 34 or 55, 22, 66.
 
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Sun Feb 09, 2014, 12:44 AM
(#2)
Fadyen's Avatar
Since: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,917
*Moved to analysis section* - Fadyen



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Sun Feb 09, 2014, 12:49 AM
(#3)
birdayy's Avatar
Since: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,179
I think you should bet bigger otf ($0.80+)

No idea why we are x/calling turn. More draws came in and i'd expect him to check back with a lot of hands that we are vulnerable against.

I also think we should bet/fold river. It just gives us better information to work on.

As played I think we should call since our range looks capped.
 
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Sun Feb 09, 2014, 04:34 AM
(#4)
PSO-xflixx's Avatar
Since: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,119
(Live Trainer)
In a multiway pot I feel people will be less likely to start barreling off on weaker hands, draws or bluffs so I think that both either betting or x/c turn will be fine plays as we still have so much equity. I prefer betting as a default which allows us to valuebet river for halfpot and fold to a raise.

Considering the dry flop texture and the fact that we already have clubs it is less likely for villain to get to the river with a hand that needs to bluff here. As villain's range that gets to the river should be pretty strong (sets, backdoor flushes) on average I would strongly consider check/folding river as played.


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