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10NL SH ZOOM - Flop Play Slam Dunk Call?

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10NL SH ZOOM - Flop Play Slam Dunk Call? - Thu Feb 20, 2014, 07:18 PM
(#1)
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
Villain (509):13/8/1.6
TOT Steal: 9 (on 110 samples)
TOT Fold to 3Bet: 14 (7 samples)

Can this spot ever be a fold? Villain plays 13 from ALL POSITIONS and raises 8 from ALL POSITIONS as you can see from TOT steal of 9 and TOT pfr of 8. Please consider these stats as well as Fold to 3Bet being 14.

Thanks,


Last edited by dirt eh; Thu Feb 20, 2014 at 09:22 PM..
 
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Thu Feb 20, 2014, 07:59 PM
(#2)
rkleefstra's Avatar
Since: Feb 2013
Posts: 2,328
My vote goes to : call
 
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Thu Feb 20, 2014, 10:02 PM
(#3)
okneechan's Avatar
Since: Jan 2013
Posts: 41
if he set mined then the hand he most likely has here is a 77. he is in position and stacks are deep so thats a very real possibility. the other hands he could be doing this with are OPs QQ+ and KQd. my best guess is its a set or KK/AA though. very rarely its a 45s. i did run into a 56s once with my KK 4bet. he flopped the nut straight and stacked me OTF. at least you have the backdoor flush draw and 2 outs if its a set. on top of that the board looks wet a lot of draws can shove on it. i lean towards calling here even if villain is a reg. its a snap call vs a fish.
 
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Fri Feb 21, 2014, 02:24 AM
(#4)
PSO-xflixx's Avatar
Since: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,119
(Live Trainer)
Villain does seem very tight and will probably have a solid range here to shove this flop. It is ufortunate that we are blocking nutflushdraw combos but I do expect him to have slowplayed AA/KK/QQ here quite often and he could also be playing 66 this way besides all sets.

Even against a tight range calling seems absolutely +EV here when I plug these ranges into pokerstove:

58.36% AdAh
41.64% KK-QQ, 77, 55-44


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