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5nl zoom small flush vs aggression

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5nl zoom small flush vs aggression - Fri Feb 21, 2014, 07:25 AM
(#1)
Praydk's Avatar
Since: Mar 2012
Posts: 504

15/13 3b 6.3
raise flop 45%, x/r flop 67%, very wide raising range. (548 hands)
Do I shove the flop? do I shove the turn?
Can I expect him to bet the river with AQ/33?
Whats the best action otr?
 
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Fri Feb 21, 2014, 09:01 AM
(#2)
birdayy's Avatar
Since: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,179
You kinda butchered this hand tbh.

OTT, we either x/c turn x/c river, or x/jam turn.

I think given his sizing we should be x/jamming turn, mainly due to his sizing and the fact there will be < PSB on the river remaining.

Quite a few cards can kill our action too. Any 4, 5 or club could let a set check back.
 
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Fri Feb 21, 2014, 03:48 PM
(#3)
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
I agree with birdayy on this one. I like x/jamming the turn for this reason:

Quote:
Originally Posted by birdayy View Post
Quite a few cards can kill our action too. Any 4, 5 or club could let a set check back.
Also, even if we do get called by KTcc, we still have one out
 
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Fri Feb 21, 2014, 04:31 PM
(#4)
dirt eh's Avatar
Since: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,274
Quote:
15/13 3b 6.3
raise flop 45%, x/r flop 67%, very wide raising range. (548 hands)
I also like X jamming turn. I would just make a note that you need a very large samples size to use the raise flop and x/r flop stats. I understand that you have 548 hands on the villain but how many opportunities did the villain have to raise flop and or x/r flop. These sample become more useful after 3K plus hands and a minimum of 10 samples (opportunities) for those stats to be reliable. Also looking at this type of opponent, with 15/13 This type of villain likes take control of hands pre and post flop. He might not be as wide as you think he likes to take the betting lead and control his own destiny IMO. What is his Post flop aggression? I would guess around 6.0...?
 
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Sat Feb 22, 2014, 04:17 AM
(#5)
Praydk's Avatar
Since: Mar 2012
Posts: 504
birdayy
but the only set that makes sense is 22, he would 3b AA and QQ pf
what are we expecting to get calls from when we shove turn?
I raged when he showed JTcc and was beating myself up for failing to hand read
 

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