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NL10SH - bottom set vs turn check-raise drawy board.

NL10SH - bottom set vs turn check-raise drawy board. - Tue Feb 25, 2014, 07:01 PM
pockettones's Avatar
Since: Mar 2013
Posts: 151
Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10, $0.02 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $23.82 (238.2 bb)
MP: $46.99 (469.9 bb)
CO: $33.94 (339.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): $10.04 (100.4 bb)
SB: $10.84 (108.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 4 4
MP folds, CO raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, SB folds, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($1.05) J 4 K (3 players)
BB checks, CO bets $0.68, Hero calls $0.68, BB calls $0.68

Turn: ($3.09) T (3 players)
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $1.90, BB raises to $4.99, CO folds, Hero raises to $9.04 and is all-in, BB calls $4.05

River: ($21.17) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

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SB is 38/21/4, f2cbet of 68% over 311 hands, other guy pretty solid reg. Put SB on a draw, AQ hits on the turn but I thought he most likely fold this on flop given his high fold to cbet %, so I think maybe he has KT, KJ, JJ, I assume KK 3bets pre. TT is c/f folding this flop with given action. Is this shove too thin? I do not consider flatting as there are a lot of scary river cards that complete draws on the river and just in case he has one of these.
Tue Feb 25, 2014, 07:33 PM
birdayy's Avatar
Since: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,179
If it was rainbow there'd be more merit to flatting.

As is I think we should x/raise flop and try to GII. A lot of cards can come OTT which makes our hand a lot weaker in a relative sense.

As played I would call turn (not shove) and reevaluate river.
Wed Feb 26, 2014, 02:26 AM
PSO-xflixx's Avatar
Since: Jun 2011
Posts: 1,119
(Live Trainer)
+1 to what birdayy said.

I would raise flop as you can get a lot of action from TP type hands and draws (you can also represent draws yourself which is always good).

Turn I feel we should be calling as getting it in may only result in stacking off to the better hand or even folding out 2 pair as it looks so strong.

Live Trainer

Wed Feb 26, 2014, 06:50 AM
spand42's Avatar
Since: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,496
Like the others have said, this is a really bad board to slowplay on. There are so many worse hands that can call a raise on the flop that might not be able to give you such good action on later streets.

On the flip side, by just calling you're allowing yourself to be place in a really tough spot on so many turn and river cards when you haven't got the initiative.

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